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THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” years walked through the late 1800s BC, while“Early
02 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG AMC Credit vs. Equity, Telling. June 2, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. 03 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Keep in mind, there was a big difference. If you were caught growing cocoa beans illegally, there was a good chance you’d find yourself on top of a pyramid with your living heart cut out of your body by a blood-encrusted priest (it was taboo to wash off victims’ blood) and have your still pumping heart offered up to the sun. MARCH | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG On March 23, Morgan Stanley priced the stock sale at $85 (it traded as high as $100 hours later), Bakish should announce a stock buyback tonight at $45 and burn the Street’s britches into the history books. The stuff legends are made of. An Epic Unwind – Bear Traps Report from March 27, 2021. DRUCKENMILLER’S LOST TREE SPEECH, MORE IMPORTANT NOW THAN If you’ve never read this classic, the Stan Druckenmiller speech delivered in 2015 at the Lost Tree Club, in Florida – you’re in for a treat. It’s so inspiring – Druck’s passion for markets is like no other. Putting the pieces to the puzzle together means everything to him and everything to us. Above all, today – the wordson this
INSIDE THE SUPPLEMENTARY LEVERAGE RATIO SLR The Supplementary Leverage Ratio SLR is the ultimate measure of capital adequacy. If the Fed doesn’t extent the SLR, it will have a large impact on the bond market, stress is high. Essentially, the SLR measures in percentage terms a bank’s ability to take losses on its assets. The formula is SLR = (tier 1 capital)/ (total leverageexposure).
OUR 2020 ELECTION SERIES PART II: ENERGY Our 20 20 Election Series Part II: Energy – October 21, 2020 Page The Bear Traps Report 2 of 33 With Larry McDonald Buy 1/3 RDS.A Royal Dutch Shell (Re-entering our Royal Dutch position after exiting in full in Q1's spike near $32. OUR 21 LEHMAN SYSTEMIC RISK INDICATORS ARE ON THE RISE Switzerland $51B. Singapore $51B. One of our key 21 Lehman systemic risk indicators has been focused on China’s currency. At the Bear Traps Report, our passion is focused on helping our subscribers understand leading risk indictors. There are always warning signs which take place just BEFORE large, elevator shaft like drops in thestock market.
A WALL ST. LEGEND LEAVES US WITH TIMELESS LESSONS McCarthy placed over $1.5 billion of bets against Countrywide Financial and Beazer Homes, he was a trader with unique market instincts, true vision. Before the crash, he wisely left the doomed firm in 2007 and made his fateful declaration to a large audience athis
RISKS ANALYSIS, INVESTMENT NEWSLETTER, NEW YORK Since 2007, 68% of stock market returns are tied to political events". The Bear Traps report is a weekly independent Investment Research Publication focusing on global political and systemic risk with actionable trade ideas. The service is tailored for asset managers,hedge
THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” years walked through the late 1800s BC, while“Early
02 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG AMC Credit vs. Equity, Telling. June 2, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. 03 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Keep in mind, there was a big difference. If you were caught growing cocoa beans illegally, there was a good chance you’d find yourself on top of a pyramid with your living heart cut out of your body by a blood-encrusted priest (it was taboo to wash off victims’ blood) and have your still pumping heart offered up to the sun. MARCH | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG On March 23, Morgan Stanley priced the stock sale at $85 (it traded as high as $100 hours later), Bakish should announce a stock buyback tonight at $45 and burn the Street’s britches into the history books. The stuff legends are made of. An Epic Unwind – Bear Traps Report from March 27, 2021. DRUCKENMILLER’S LOST TREE SPEECH, MORE IMPORTANT NOW THAN If you’ve never read this classic, the Stan Druckenmiller speech delivered in 2015 at the Lost Tree Club, in Florida – you’re in for a treat. It’s so inspiring – Druck’s passion for markets is like no other. Putting the pieces to the puzzle together means everything to him and everything to us. Above all, today – the wordson this
INSIDE THE SUPPLEMENTARY LEVERAGE RATIO SLR The Supplementary Leverage Ratio SLR is the ultimate measure of capital adequacy. If the Fed doesn’t extent the SLR, it will have a large impact on the bond market, stress is high. Essentially, the SLR measures in percentage terms a bank’s ability to take losses on its assets. The formula is SLR = (tier 1 capital)/ (total leverageexposure).
OUR 2020 ELECTION SERIES PART II: ENERGY Our 20 20 Election Series Part II: Energy – October 21, 2020 Page The Bear Traps Report 2 of 33 With Larry McDonald Buy 1/3 RDS.A Royal Dutch Shell (Re-entering our Royal Dutch position after exiting in full in Q1's spike near $32. OUR 21 LEHMAN SYSTEMIC RISK INDICATORS ARE ON THE RISE Switzerland $51B. Singapore $51B. One of our key 21 Lehman systemic risk indicators has been focused on China’s currency. At the Bear Traps Report, our passion is focused on helping our subscribers understand leading risk indictors. There are always warning signs which take place just BEFORE large, elevator shaft like drops in thestock market.
A WALL ST. LEGEND LEAVES US WITH TIMELESS LESSONS McCarthy placed over $1.5 billion of bets against Countrywide Financial and Beazer Homes, he was a trader with unique market instincts, true vision. Before the crash, he wisely left the doomed firm in 2007 and made his fateful declaration to a large audience athis
TIMELESS BITCOIN
Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” years walked through the late 1800s BC, while “Early JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Keep in mind, there was a big difference. If you were caught growing cocoa beans illegally, there was a good chance you’d find yourself on top of a pyramid with your living heart cut out of your body by a blood-encrusted priest (it was taboo to wash off victims’ blood) and have your still pumping heart offered up to the sun.GREED BREAKS THINGS
Greed Breaks Things. March 29, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. RIP COVID-19 PORTFOLIO Risk-parity asset managers delivered their worst day in nearly 5 months this week, the $1.2 billion RPAR Risk Parity ETF plunged the most since the depths of the Covid rout in March. Positive Correlation – Stocks and Bonds. It was the worst single day for 5s (five-year Treasuries) since 2002. 21 | JULY | 2020 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG The Cobra Effect. July 21, 2020 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. “Our indicators tell us, we’re very close to a Lehman-like drawdown,” argues Larry McDonald, a former strategist at Société Générale who now runs The Bear Traps report. BULLIES WILL BE BULLIES. PUTIN, OBAMA He took Crimea and put Eastern Ukraine, converting the region into a permanent low-grade conflict. Putin realizes the best border that he can most easily exploit while giving Russia a geographic buffer against the West is a long-lasting, low-grade conflict in GAS PRICES, INFLATION AND INEQUALITY An increase in gasoline prices is a tax on consumer demand. A person making $45k a year only has so much money to spend. And every dollar made is spent. So if an extra dollar goes to gas, that is one less dollar to a component of Core CPI. So higher gasoline prices take demand away from other goods and services. FED CHAIR JAY POWELL AND JAMIE DIMON ON THE SLR DEBACLE That’s right. JP Morgan, Citibank, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, et al literally own the Fed. Anyone who thinks the RRP cap raise and the subsequent non-extension of the SLR exemption is wholly unrelated phenomena don’t know half of it. This was heavily negotiated. The Central Bank, believe it or not, talks to Jamie (money center banks),daily.
DON’T MAKE IT A LONG DANCE WITH THE DEVIL TQQQ’s +6,410.9% outperformance over the Nasdaq 100 since the ETF’s inception in 2010 will not be repeated for a very long time, if ever. This was only possible because since the TQQQ ETF was created, the Nasdaq has not seen over a -33% drawdown yet. Keep in mind, the Nasdaq fell -76% from the Dot-Com bubble’s peak to trough. A COLOSSAL FAILURE OF COMMON SENSE 2.0, ACT OR CRASH FOMC In our global NY Times bestseller*, “A Colossal Failure of Common Sense” – there are two key points the book focuses on – risk recognition failures by the Federal Reserve and the importance of short-sellers in the marketplace. *now published in 12 languages, over 600,000 sold. Today, at precisely the same moment – we are onceagain
RISKS ANALYSIS, INVESTMENT NEWSLETTER, NEW YORK Since 2007, 68% of stock market returns are tied to political events". The Bear Traps report is a weekly independent Investment Research Publication focusing on global political and systemic risk with actionable trade ideas. The service is tailored for asset managers,hedge
THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” years walked through the late 1800s BC, while“Early
02 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG AMC Credit vs. Equity, Telling. June 2, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. APRIL | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG April 10, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – MARCH | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG On March 23, Morgan Stanley priced the stock sale at $85 (it traded as high as $100 hours later), Bakish should announce a stock buyback tonight at $45 and burn the Street’s britches into the history books. The stuff legends are made of. An Epic Unwind – Bear Traps Report from March 27, 2021. 03 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Keep in mind, there was a big difference. If you were caught growing cocoa beans illegally, there was a good chance you’d find yourself on top of a pyramid with your living heart cut out of your body by a blood-encrusted priest (it was taboo to wash off victims’ blood) and have your still pumping heart offered up to the sun. DRUCKENMILLER’S LOST TREE SPEECH, MORE IMPORTANT NOW THAN If you’ve never read this classic, the Stan Druckenmiller speech delivered in 2015 at the Lost Tree Club, in Florida – you’re in for a treat. It’s so inspiring – Druck’s passion for markets is like no other. Putting the pieces to the puzzle together means everything to him and everything to us. Above all, today – the wordson this
GAS PRICES, INFLATION AND INEQUALITY An increase in gasoline prices is a tax on consumer demand. A person making $45k a year only has so much money to spend. And every dollar made is spent. So if an extra dollar goes to gas, that is one less dollar to a component of Core CPI. So higher gasoline prices take demand away from other goods and services. FED CHAIR JAY POWELL AND JAMIE DIMON ON THE SLR DEBACLE That’s right. JP Morgan, Citibank, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, et al literally own the Fed. Anyone who thinks the RRP cap raise and the subsequent non-extension of the SLR exemption is wholly unrelated phenomena don’t know half of it. This was heavily negotiated. The Central Bank, believe it or not, talks to Jamie (money center banks),daily.
A WALL ST. LEGEND LEAVES US WITH TIMELESS LESSONS McCarthy placed over $1.5 billion of bets against Countrywide Financial and Beazer Homes, he was a trader with unique market instincts, true vision. Before the crash, he wisely left the doomed firm in 2007 and made his fateful declaration to a large audience athis
RISKS ANALYSIS, INVESTMENT NEWSLETTER, NEW YORK Since 2007, 68% of stock market returns are tied to political events". The Bear Traps report is a weekly independent Investment Research Publication focusing on global political and systemic risk with actionable trade ideas. The service is tailored for asset managers,hedge
THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” years walked through the late 1800s BC, while“Early
02 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG AMC Credit vs. Equity, Telling. June 2, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. APRIL | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG April 10, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – MARCH | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG On March 23, Morgan Stanley priced the stock sale at $85 (it traded as high as $100 hours later), Bakish should announce a stock buyback tonight at $45 and burn the Street’s britches into the history books. The stuff legends are made of. An Epic Unwind – Bear Traps Report from March 27, 2021. 03 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Keep in mind, there was a big difference. If you were caught growing cocoa beans illegally, there was a good chance you’d find yourself on top of a pyramid with your living heart cut out of your body by a blood-encrusted priest (it was taboo to wash off victims’ blood) and have your still pumping heart offered up to the sun. DRUCKENMILLER’S LOST TREE SPEECH, MORE IMPORTANT NOW THAN If you’ve never read this classic, the Stan Druckenmiller speech delivered in 2015 at the Lost Tree Club, in Florida – you’re in for a treat. It’s so inspiring – Druck’s passion for markets is like no other. Putting the pieces to the puzzle together means everything to him and everything to us. Above all, today – the wordson this
GAS PRICES, INFLATION AND INEQUALITY An increase in gasoline prices is a tax on consumer demand. A person making $45k a year only has so much money to spend. And every dollar made is spent. So if an extra dollar goes to gas, that is one less dollar to a component of Core CPI. So higher gasoline prices take demand away from other goods and services. FED CHAIR JAY POWELL AND JAMIE DIMON ON THE SLR DEBACLE That’s right. JP Morgan, Citibank, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, et al literally own the Fed. Anyone who thinks the RRP cap raise and the subsequent non-extension of the SLR exemption is wholly unrelated phenomena don’t know half of it. This was heavily negotiated. The Central Bank, believe it or not, talks to Jamie (money center banks),daily.
A WALL ST. LEGEND LEAVES US WITH TIMELESS LESSONS McCarthy placed over $1.5 billion of bets against Countrywide Financial and Beazer Homes, he was a trader with unique market instincts, true vision. Before the crash, he wisely left the doomed firm in 2007 and made his fateful declaration to a large audience athis
TIMELESS BITCOIN
Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” years walked through the late 1800s BC, while “Early MARCH | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG On March 23, Morgan Stanley priced the stock sale at $85 (it traded as high as $100 hours later), Bakish should announce a stock buyback tonight at $45 and burn the Street’s britches into the history books. The stuff legends are made of. An Epic Unwind – Bear Traps Report from March 27, 2021. 03 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Keep in mind, there was a big difference. If you were caught growing cocoa beans illegally, there was a good chance you’d find yourself on top of a pyramid with your living heart cut out of your body by a blood-encrusted priest (it was taboo to wash off victims’ blood) and have your still pumping heart offered up to the sun. INSIDE THE SUPPLEMENTARY LEVERAGE RATIO SLR The Supplementary Leverage Ratio SLR is the ultimate measure of capital adequacy. If the Fed doesn’t extent the SLR, it will have a large impact on the bond market, stress is high. Essentially, the SLR measures in percentage terms a bank’s ability to take losses on its assets. The formula is SLR = (tier 1 capital)/ (total leverageexposure).
GAS PRICES, INFLATION AND INEQUALITY An increase in gasoline prices is a tax on consumer demand. A person making $45k a year only has so much money to spend. And every dollar made is spent. So if an extra dollar goes to gas, that is one less dollar to a component of Core CPI. So higher gasoline prices take demand away from other goods and services. GAMING THE S&P 500 INCLUSION PROCESS Free Float and Influence. *Buying pressure from S&P inclusion: There is approximately $3.9Tr of pure index capital following the S&P 500. These are mostly index funds, including ETFs and mutual funds that mimic the S&P. TSLA market cap is $278bl but Musk owns 18.4% of the stock. The free-float market cap is therefore $220bl. HIGH IMPACT IN THE GULF Bear Traps Report, August 19, 2020, institutional investors, FAs, RIAs, CIOs, and investment professionals, email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com for a copy of the investment thesis and the FULL report. “The models are showing something unprecedented this morning, two storms make landfall within 24 to 36 hours in essentially the same spot.”. A DEDICATION TO CHRISTINE DALEY, 1958-2020 A Dedication to Christine Daley, 1958-2020. July 26, 2020 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Christine Daley was a beautiful person, a unique and rare talent. She will be missed by so many, on and off Wall St. Through the years, there are those moments when someone touches you in a profound and special way,changes
RENEWABLE FROTH: MEMORIES OF THE DOT-COM BOOM Despite RSI at the highs (blow-off tops) in many renewable and technology equities, this bearish divergence is occurring in the most important equity index in the world – the S&P 500. Just like the dot-com peak, the quarterly RSI in the Index has been fading lower for a few years (loss of momentum), while the S&P 500’s price has hitnew
TARNISHED STOCKS MOVING INTO GOLD AND SILVER Unloved Silver is Finding Some Friends. On July 21, 2020, Silver surged 6% before 9am. Keep in mind silver’s all-time high is over $50, while today gold is very close to its 2011 perch. Silver has some large scale catching up to do. We went to a full, “high conviction” silver position for RISKS ANALYSIS, INVESTMENT NEWSLETTER, NEW YORK Since 2007, 68% of stock market returns are tied to political events". The Bear Traps report is a weekly independent Investment Research Publication focusing on global political and systemic risk with actionable trade ideas. The service is tailored for asset managers,hedge
THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” years walked through the late 1800s BC, while“Early
02 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG AMC Credit vs. Equity, Telling. June 2, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM.TIMELESS BITCOIN
Timeless Bitcoin. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” years MARCH | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG On March 23, Morgan Stanley priced the stock sale at $85 (it traded as high as $100 hours later), Bakish should announce a stock buyback tonight at $45 and burn the Street’s britches into the history books. The stuff legends are made of. An Epic Unwind – Bear Traps Report from March 27, 2021. DRUCKENMILLER’S LOST TREE SPEECH, MORE IMPORTANT NOW THAN If you’ve never read this classic, the Stan Druckenmiller speech delivered in 2015 at the Lost Tree Club, in Florida – you’re in for a treat. It’s so inspiring – Druck’s passion for markets is like no other. Putting the pieces to the puzzle together means everything to him and everything to us. Above all, today – the wordson this
OUR 2020 ELECTION SERIES PART II: ENERGY Our 20 20 Election Series Part II: Energy – October 21, 2020 Page The Bear Traps Report 2 of 33 With Larry McDonald Buy 1/3 RDS.A Royal Dutch Shell (Re-entering our Royal Dutch position after exiting in full in Q1's spike near $32. INSIDE THE SUPPLEMENTARY LEVERAGE RATIO SLR The Supplementary Leverage Ratio SLR is the ultimate measure of capital adequacy. If the Fed doesn’t extent the SLR, it will have a large impact on the bond market, stress is high. Essentially, the SLR measures in percentage terms a bank’s ability to take losses on its assets. The formula is SLR = (tier 1 capital)/ (total leverageexposure).
FED CHAIR JAY POWELL AND JAMIE DIMON ON THE SLR DEBACLE That’s right. JP Morgan, Citibank, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, et al literally own the Fed. Anyone who thinks the RRP cap raise and the subsequent non-extension of the SLR exemption is wholly unrelated phenomena don’t know half of it. This was heavily negotiated. The Central Bank, believe it or not, talks to Jamie (money center banks),daily.
OUR 21 LEHMAN SYSTEMIC RISK INDICATORS ARE ON THE RISE Switzerland $51B. Singapore $51B. One of our key 21 Lehman systemic risk indicators has been focused on China’s currency. At the Bear Traps Report, our passion is focused on helping our subscribers understand leading risk indictors. There are always warning signs which take place just BEFORE large, elevator shaft like drops in thestock market.
RISKS ANALYSIS, INVESTMENT NEWSLETTER, NEW YORK Since 2007, 68% of stock market returns are tied to political events". The Bear Traps report is a weekly independent Investment Research Publication focusing on global political and systemic risk with actionable trade ideas. The service is tailored for asset managers,hedge
THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” years walked through the late 1800s BC, while“Early
02 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG AMC Credit vs. Equity, Telling. June 2, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM.TIMELESS BITCOIN
Timeless Bitcoin. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” years MARCH | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG On March 23, Morgan Stanley priced the stock sale at $85 (it traded as high as $100 hours later), Bakish should announce a stock buyback tonight at $45 and burn the Street’s britches into the history books. The stuff legends are made of. An Epic Unwind – Bear Traps Report from March 27, 2021. DRUCKENMILLER’S LOST TREE SPEECH, MORE IMPORTANT NOW THAN If you’ve never read this classic, the Stan Druckenmiller speech delivered in 2015 at the Lost Tree Club, in Florida – you’re in for a treat. It’s so inspiring – Druck’s passion for markets is like no other. Putting the pieces to the puzzle together means everything to him and everything to us. Above all, today – the wordson this
OUR 2020 ELECTION SERIES PART II: ENERGY Our 20 20 Election Series Part II: Energy – October 21, 2020 Page The Bear Traps Report 2 of 33 With Larry McDonald Buy 1/3 RDS.A Royal Dutch Shell (Re-entering our Royal Dutch position after exiting in full in Q1's spike near $32. INSIDE THE SUPPLEMENTARY LEVERAGE RATIO SLR The Supplementary Leverage Ratio SLR is the ultimate measure of capital adequacy. If the Fed doesn’t extent the SLR, it will have a large impact on the bond market, stress is high. Essentially, the SLR measures in percentage terms a bank’s ability to take losses on its assets. The formula is SLR = (tier 1 capital)/ (total leverageexposure).
FED CHAIR JAY POWELL AND JAMIE DIMON ON THE SLR DEBACLE That’s right. JP Morgan, Citibank, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, et al literally own the Fed. Anyone who thinks the RRP cap raise and the subsequent non-extension of the SLR exemption is wholly unrelated phenomena don’t know half of it. This was heavily negotiated. The Central Bank, believe it or not, talks to Jamie (money center banks),daily.
OUR 21 LEHMAN SYSTEMIC RISK INDICATORS ARE ON THE RISE Switzerland $51B. Singapore $51B. One of our key 21 Lehman systemic risk indicators has been focused on China’s currency. At the Bear Traps Report, our passion is focused on helping our subscribers understand leading risk indictors. There are always warning signs which take place just BEFORE large, elevator shaft like drops in thestock market.
TIMELESS BITCOIN
Timeless Bitcoin. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” yearsCUSTOMER LOGIN
THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT ©2017 All Rights Reserved. The Bear Traps Report is an Independent Financial Letter Focusing in Risk EventsMoving Markets.
03 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Keep in mind, there was a big difference. If you were caught growing cocoa beans illegally, there was a good chance you’d find yourself on top of a pyramid with your living heart cut out of your body by a blood-encrusted priest (it was taboo to wash off victims’ blood) and have your still pumping heart offered up to the sun.GREED BREAKS THINGS
Greed Breaks Things. March 29, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. RIP COVID-19 PORTFOLIO Risk-parity asset managers delivered their worst day in nearly 5 months this week, the $1.2 billion RPAR Risk Parity ETF plunged the most since the depths of the Covid rout in March. Positive Correlation – Stocks and Bonds. It was the worst single day for 5s (five-year Treasuries) since 2002. 21 | JULY | 2020 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG The Cobra Effect. July 21, 2020 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. “Our indicators tell us, we’re very close to a Lehman-like drawdown,” argues Larry McDonald, a former strategist at Société Générale who now runs The Bear Traps report. GAS PRICES, INFLATION AND INEQUALITY An increase in gasoline prices is a tax on consumer demand. A person making $45k a year only has so much money to spend. And every dollar made is spent. So if an extra dollar goes to gas, that is one less dollar to a component of Core CPI. So higher gasoline prices take demand away from other goods and services. RENEWABLE FROTH: MEMORIES OF THE DOT-COM BOOM Despite RSI at the highs (blow-off tops) in many renewable and technology equities, this bearish divergence is occurring in the most important equity index in the world – the S&P 500. Just like the dot-com peak, the quarterly RSI in the Index has been fading lower for a few years (loss of momentum), while the S&P 500’s price has hitnew
A TURN IN THE CREDIT CYCLE THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT © – With Larry McDonald. Page 1 of 25 04/10/2017 A Turn in the Credit Cycle In this Note: - After years of robust growth, the U.S. car market OUR 21 LEHMAN SYSTEMIC RISK INDICATORS ARE ON THE RISE Switzerland $51B. Singapore $51B. One of our key 21 Lehman systemic risk indicators has been focused on China’s currency. At the Bear Traps Report, our passion is focused on helping our subscribers understand leading risk indictors. There are always warning signs which take place just BEFORE large, elevator shaft like drops in thestock market.
RISKS ANALYSIS, INVESTMENT NEWSLETTER, NEW YORK Investment Newsletter, Risk Analysis, The Bear Traps Report is a weekly independent letter focusing on global political Risk with actionable trade ideas, get our 21 Lehman indicators today THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Keep in mind, there was a big difference. If you were caught growing cocoa beans illegally, there was a good chance you’d find yourself on top of a pyramid with your living heart cut out of your body by a blood-encrusted priest (it was taboo to wash off victims’ blood) andhave your still
TIMELESS BITCOIN
Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” years walked through the late 1800s BC, while “Early 02 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. MARCH | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com INSIDE THE SUPPLEMENTARY LEVERAGE RATIO SLR Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a ground breaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. DRUCKENMILLER’S LOST TREE SPEECH, MORE IMPORTANT NOW THAN “Our indicators tell us, we’re very close to a Lehman-like drawdown,” argues Larry McDonald, a former strategist at Société Générale who now runs The Bear Traps report. FED CHAIR JAY POWELL AND JAMIE DIMON ON THE SLR DEBACLE Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. OUR 2020 ELECTION SERIES PART II: ENERGY Our 20 20 Election Series Part II: Energy – October 21, 2020 Page The Bear Traps Report 2 of 33 With Larry McDonald Buy 1/3 RDS.A Royal Dutch Shell (Re-entering our Royal Dutch position after exiting in full in Q1's spike near $32. OUR 21 LEHMAN SYSTEMIC RISK INDICATORS ARE ON THE RISE Over the last year, the U.S. Dollar has been a global wrecking ball. Since 2007, there’s over $10T of new dollar denominated debt onearth.
RISKS ANALYSIS, INVESTMENT NEWSLETTER, NEW YORK Investment Newsletter, Risk Analysis, The Bear Traps Report is a weekly independent letter focusing on global political Risk with actionable trade ideas, get our 21 Lehman indicators today THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Keep in mind, there was a big difference. If you were caught growing cocoa beans illegally, there was a good chance you’d find yourself on top of a pyramid with your living heart cut out of your body by a blood-encrusted priest (it was taboo to wash off victims’ blood) andhave your still
TIMELESS BITCOIN
Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” years walked through the late 1800s BC, while “Early 02 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. MARCH | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com INSIDE THE SUPPLEMENTARY LEVERAGE RATIO SLR Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a ground breaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. DRUCKENMILLER’S LOST TREE SPEECH, MORE IMPORTANT NOW THAN “Our indicators tell us, we’re very close to a Lehman-like drawdown,” argues Larry McDonald, a former strategist at Société Générale who now runs The Bear Traps report. FED CHAIR JAY POWELL AND JAMIE DIMON ON THE SLR DEBACLE Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. OUR 2020 ELECTION SERIES PART II: ENERGY Our 20 20 Election Series Part II: Energy – October 21, 2020 Page The Bear Traps Report 2 of 33 With Larry McDonald Buy 1/3 RDS.A Royal Dutch Shell (Re-entering our Royal Dutch position after exiting in full in Q1's spike near $32. OUR 21 LEHMAN SYSTEMIC RISK INDICATORS ARE ON THE RISE Over the last year, the U.S. Dollar has been a global wrecking ball. Since 2007, there’s over $10T of new dollar denominated debt onearth.
TIMELESS BITCOIN
Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” years walked through the late 1800s BC, while “Early 03 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Keep in mind, there was a big difference. If you were caught growing cocoa beans illegally, there was a good chance you’d find yourself on top of a pyramid with your living heart cut out of your body by a blood-encrusted priest (it was taboo to wash off victims’ blood) and have your still pumping heart offered up to the sun.GREED BREAKS THINGS
Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. GAS PRICES, INFLATION AND INEQUALITY Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a ground breaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. RIP COVID-19 PORTFOLIO Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. The global reflation rotation, what´s the problem? Millions of investors have a portfolio constructed for 2010-20 (big tech and bonds), not 2020-30 (commodities, value, and globalequities).
21 | JULY | 2020 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG “Our indicators tell us, we’re very close to a Lehman-like drawdown,” argues Larry McDonald, a former strategist at Société Générale who now runs The Bear Traps report. A COLOSSAL FAILURE OF COMMON SENSE 2.0, ACT OR CRASH FOMC *Our institutional client flatform includes; financial advisors, family offices, RIAs, CTAs, hedge funds, mutual funds, and pension funds. Email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com to get on our live Bloomberg chat over the terminal, institutional investors only please, it’s a real value add. RENEWABLE FROTH: MEMORIES OF THE DOT-COM BOOM Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Party like it’s 1999 “There’s nothing in this world, which will so violently distort a man’s judgment more than the sight of his neighbor getting rich,” A TURN IN THE CREDIT CYCLE THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT © – With Larry McDonald. Page 1 of 25 04/10/2017 A Turn in the Credit Cycle In this Note: - After years of robust growth, the U.S. car market OUR 21 LEHMAN SYSTEMIC RISK INDICATORS ARE ON THE RISE Over the last year, the U.S. Dollar has been a global wrecking ball. Since 2007, there’s over $10T of new dollar denominated debt onearth.
RISKS ANALYSIS, INVESTMENT NEWSLETTER, NEW YORK Since 2007, 68% of stock market returns are tied to political events". The Bear Traps report is a weekly independent Investment Research Publication focusing on global political and systemic risk with actionable trade ideas. The service is tailored for asset managers,hedge
THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” years walked through the late 1800s BC, while“Early
02 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG AMC Credit vs. Equity, Telling. June 2, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. APRIL | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG April 10, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – MARCH | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG On March 23, Morgan Stanley priced the stock sale at $85 (it traded as high as $100 hours later), Bakish should announce a stock buyback tonight at $45 and burn the Street’s britches into the history books. The stuff legends are made of. An Epic Unwind – Bear Traps Report from March 27, 2021. DRUCKENMILLER’S LOST TREE SPEECH, MORE IMPORTANT NOW THAN If you’ve never read this classic, the Stan Druckenmiller speech delivered in 2015 at the Lost Tree Club, in Florida – you’re in for a treat. It’s so inspiring – Druck’s passion for markets is like no other. Putting the pieces to the puzzle together means everything to him and everything to us. Above all, today – the wordson this
GAS PRICES, INFLATION AND INEQUALITY An increase in gasoline prices is a tax on consumer demand. A person making $45k a year only has so much money to spend. And every dollar made is spent. So if an extra dollar goes to gas, that is one less dollar to a component of Core CPI. So higher gasoline prices take demand away from other goods and services. FED CHAIR JAY POWELL AND JAMIE DIMON ON THE SLR DEBACLE That’s right. JP Morgan, Citibank, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, et al literally own the Fed. Anyone who thinks the RRP cap raise and the subsequent non-extension of the SLR exemption is wholly unrelated phenomena don’t know half of it. This was heavily negotiated. The Central Bank, believe it or not, talks to Jamie (money center banks),daily.
DON’T MAKE IT A LONG DANCE WITH THE DEVIL When stock XYZ falls -33%, stock 3XYZ falls -99%. This stock needs +9900% appreciation to get back to even! $100 would have gone to $1 and after a +147.75% (3 x 49.25%) rally, $1 becomes just $2.47! “ The Nasdaq 100 Index has NOT seen a -33% drawdown since TQQQ was created in 2010. Once it does, TQQQ’s prior high is likely to NEVERbe
A WALL ST. LEGEND LEAVES US WITH TIMELESS LESSONS McCarthy placed over $1.5 billion of bets against Countrywide Financial and Beazer Homes, he was a trader with unique market instincts, true vision. Before the crash, he wisely left the doomed firm in 2007 and made his fateful declaration to a large audience athis
RISKS ANALYSIS, INVESTMENT NEWSLETTER, NEW YORK Since 2007, 68% of stock market returns are tied to political events". The Bear Traps report is a weekly independent Investment Research Publication focusing on global political and systemic risk with actionable trade ideas. The service is tailored for asset managers,hedge
THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” years walked through the late 1800s BC, while“Early
02 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG AMC Credit vs. Equity, Telling. June 2, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. APRIL | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG April 10, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – MARCH | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG On March 23, Morgan Stanley priced the stock sale at $85 (it traded as high as $100 hours later), Bakish should announce a stock buyback tonight at $45 and burn the Street’s britches into the history books. The stuff legends are made of. An Epic Unwind – Bear Traps Report from March 27, 2021. DRUCKENMILLER’S LOST TREE SPEECH, MORE IMPORTANT NOW THAN If you’ve never read this classic, the Stan Druckenmiller speech delivered in 2015 at the Lost Tree Club, in Florida – you’re in for a treat. It’s so inspiring – Druck’s passion for markets is like no other. Putting the pieces to the puzzle together means everything to him and everything to us. Above all, today – the wordson this
GAS PRICES, INFLATION AND INEQUALITY An increase in gasoline prices is a tax on consumer demand. A person making $45k a year only has so much money to spend. And every dollar made is spent. So if an extra dollar goes to gas, that is one less dollar to a component of Core CPI. So higher gasoline prices take demand away from other goods and services. FED CHAIR JAY POWELL AND JAMIE DIMON ON THE SLR DEBACLE That’s right. JP Morgan, Citibank, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, et al literally own the Fed. Anyone who thinks the RRP cap raise and the subsequent non-extension of the SLR exemption is wholly unrelated phenomena don’t know half of it. This was heavily negotiated. The Central Bank, believe it or not, talks to Jamie (money center banks),daily.
DON’T MAKE IT A LONG DANCE WITH THE DEVIL When stock XYZ falls -33%, stock 3XYZ falls -99%. This stock needs +9900% appreciation to get back to even! $100 would have gone to $1 and after a +147.75% (3 x 49.25%) rally, $1 becomes just $2.47! “ The Nasdaq 100 Index has NOT seen a -33% drawdown since TQQQ was created in 2010. Once it does, TQQQ’s prior high is likely to NEVERbe
A WALL ST. LEGEND LEAVES US WITH TIMELESS LESSONS McCarthy placed over $1.5 billion of bets against Countrywide Financial and Beazer Homes, he was a trader with unique market instincts, true vision. Before the crash, he wisely left the doomed firm in 2007 and made his fateful declaration to a large audience athis
TIMELESS BITCOIN
Timeless Bitcoin. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” years 03 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Timeless Bitcoin. June 3, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. 21 | JULY | 2020 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG The Cobra Effect. July 21, 2020 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. “Our indicators tell us, we’re very close to a Lehman-like drawdown,” argues Larry McDonald, a former strategist at Société Générale who now runs The Bear Traps report. RIP COVID-19 PORTFOLIO Risk-parity asset managers delivered their worst day in nearly 5 months this week, the $1.2 billion RPAR Risk Parity ETF plunged the most since the depths of the Covid rout in March. Positive Correlation – Stocks and Bonds. It was the worst single day for 5s (five-year Treasuries) since 2002. FEBRUARY | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Then the US treasury brought another* $100B for sale (5-7 year paper) this week. Anemic demand triggered the now historic, 6sd (standard deviation ) blow-up in 5s. *total $1.8T U.S. Treasuries for sale in 2021, ABOVE Fed asset purchases. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. GAS PRICES, INFLATION AND INEQUALITY An increase in gasoline prices is a tax on consumer demand. A person making $45k a year only has so much money to spend. And every dollar made is spent. So if an extra dollar goes to gas, that is one less dollar to a component of Core CPI. So higher gasoline prices take demand away from other goods and services.GREED BREAKS THINGS
Greed Breaks Things. March 29, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. GAMING THE S&P 500 INCLUSION PROCESS Free Float and Influence. *Buying pressure from S&P inclusion: There is approximately $3.9Tr of pure index capital following the S&P 500. These are mostly index funds, including ETFs and mutual funds that mimic the S&P. TSLA market cap is $278bl but Musk owns 18.4% of the stock. The free-float market cap is therefore $220bl. OUR 2020 ELECTION SERIES PART II: ENERGY Our 20 20 Election Series Part II: Energy – October 21, 2020 Page The Bear Traps Report 2 of 33 With Larry McDonald Buy 1/3 RDS.A Royal Dutch Shell (Re-entering our Royal Dutch position after exiting in full in Q1's spike near $32. OUR 21 LEHMAN SYSTEMIC RISK INDICATORS ARE ON THE RISE Switzerland $51B. Singapore $51B. One of our key 21 Lehman systemic risk indicators has been focused on China’s currency. At the Bear Traps Report, our passion is focused on helping our subscribers understand leading risk indictors. There are always warning signs which take place just BEFORE large, elevator shaft like drops in thestock market.
RISKS ANALYSIS, INVESTMENT NEWSLETTER, NEW YORK Since 2007, 68% of stock market returns are tied to political events". The Bear Traps report is a weekly independent Investment Research Publication focusing on global political and systemic risk with actionable trade ideas. The service is tailored for asset managers,hedge
THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Now we have seen everything. AMC´s 5.25s due in 2025 closed down a quarter-point at 79.796 cents on the dollar vs. the AMC equity 95% higher at $62.55. “After 30 years of trading stocks and bonds, 95% of the time I can assure you, credit leads equities. That´s a 12.25% yield to worst vs. 5 year DRUCKENMILLER’S LOST TREE SPEECH, MORE IMPORTANT NOW THAN If you’ve never read this classic, the Stan Druckenmiller speech delivered in 2015 at the Lost Tree Club, in Florida – you’re in for a treat. It’s so inspiring – Druck’s passion for markets is like no other. Putting the pieces to the puzzle together means everything to him and everything to us. Above all, today – the wordson this
02 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG AMC Credit vs. Equity, Telling. June 2, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. INSIDE THE SUPPLEMENTARY LEVERAGE RATIO SLR The Supplementary Leverage Ratio SLR is the ultimate measure of capital adequacy. If the Fed doesn’t extent the SLR, it will have a large impact on the bond market, stress is high. Essentially, the SLR measures in percentage terms a bank’s ability to take losses on its assets. The formula is SLR = (tier 1 capital)/ (total leverageexposure).
OUR 2020 ELECTION SERIES PART II: ENERGY Our 20 20 Election Series Part II: Energy – October 21, 2020 Page The Bear Traps Report 2 of 33 With Larry McDonald Buy 1/3 RDS.A Royal Dutch Shell (Re-entering our Royal Dutch position after exiting in full in Q1's spike near $32. MARCH | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG On March 23, Morgan Stanley priced the stock sale at $85 (it traded as high as $100 hours later), Bakish should announce a stock buyback tonight at $45 and burn the Street’s britches into the history books. The stuff legends are made of. An Epic Unwind – Bear Traps Report from March 27, 2021. OUR 21 LEHMAN SYSTEMIC RISK INDICATORS ARE ON THE RISE Switzerland $51B. Singapore $51B. One of our key 21 Lehman systemic risk indicators has been focused on China’s currency. At the Bear Traps Report, our passion is focused on helping our subscribers understand leading risk indictors. There are always warning signs which take place just BEFORE large, elevator shaft like drops in thestock market.
FED CHAIR JAY POWELL AND JAMIE DIMON ON THE SLR DEBACLE That’s right. JP Morgan, Citibank, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, et al literally own the Fed. Anyone who thinks the RRP cap raise and the subsequent non-extension of the SLR exemption is wholly unrelated phenomena don’t know half of it. This was heavily negotiated. The Central Bank, believe it or not, talks to Jamie (money center banks),daily.
BULLIES WILL BE BULLIES. PUTIN, OBAMA He took Crimea and put Eastern Ukraine, converting the region into a permanent low-grade conflict. Putin realizes the best border that he can most easily exploit while giving Russia a geographic buffer against the West is a long-lasting, low-grade conflict in RISKS ANALYSIS, INVESTMENT NEWSLETTER, NEW YORK Since 2007, 68% of stock market returns are tied to political events". The Bear Traps report is a weekly independent Investment Research Publication focusing on global political and systemic risk with actionable trade ideas. The service is tailored for asset managers,hedge
THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Now we have seen everything. AMC´s 5.25s due in 2025 closed down a quarter-point at 79.796 cents on the dollar vs. the AMC equity 95% higher at $62.55. “After 30 years of trading stocks and bonds, 95% of the time I can assure you, credit leads equities. That´s a 12.25% yield to worst vs. 5 year DRUCKENMILLER’S LOST TREE SPEECH, MORE IMPORTANT NOW THAN If you’ve never read this classic, the Stan Druckenmiller speech delivered in 2015 at the Lost Tree Club, in Florida – you’re in for a treat. It’s so inspiring – Druck’s passion for markets is like no other. Putting the pieces to the puzzle together means everything to him and everything to us. Above all, today – the wordson this
02 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG AMC Credit vs. Equity, Telling. June 2, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. INSIDE THE SUPPLEMENTARY LEVERAGE RATIO SLR The Supplementary Leverage Ratio SLR is the ultimate measure of capital adequacy. If the Fed doesn’t extent the SLR, it will have a large impact on the bond market, stress is high. Essentially, the SLR measures in percentage terms a bank’s ability to take losses on its assets. The formula is SLR = (tier 1 capital)/ (total leverageexposure).
OUR 2020 ELECTION SERIES PART II: ENERGY Our 20 20 Election Series Part II: Energy – October 21, 2020 Page The Bear Traps Report 2 of 33 With Larry McDonald Buy 1/3 RDS.A Royal Dutch Shell (Re-entering our Royal Dutch position after exiting in full in Q1's spike near $32. MARCH | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG On March 23, Morgan Stanley priced the stock sale at $85 (it traded as high as $100 hours later), Bakish should announce a stock buyback tonight at $45 and burn the Street’s britches into the history books. The stuff legends are made of. An Epic Unwind – Bear Traps Report from March 27, 2021. OUR 21 LEHMAN SYSTEMIC RISK INDICATORS ARE ON THE RISE Switzerland $51B. Singapore $51B. One of our key 21 Lehman systemic risk indicators has been focused on China’s currency. At the Bear Traps Report, our passion is focused on helping our subscribers understand leading risk indictors. There are always warning signs which take place just BEFORE large, elevator shaft like drops in thestock market.
FED CHAIR JAY POWELL AND JAMIE DIMON ON THE SLR DEBACLE That’s right. JP Morgan, Citibank, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, et al literally own the Fed. Anyone who thinks the RRP cap raise and the subsequent non-extension of the SLR exemption is wholly unrelated phenomena don’t know half of it. This was heavily negotiated. The Central Bank, believe it or not, talks to Jamie (money center banks),daily.
BULLIES WILL BE BULLIES. PUTIN, OBAMA He took Crimea and put Eastern Ukraine, converting the region into a permanent low-grade conflict. Putin realizes the best border that he can most easily exploit while giving Russia a geographic buffer against the West is a long-lasting, low-grade conflict inTIMELESS BITCOIN
Timeless Bitcoin. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” years 03 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Timeless Bitcoin. June 3, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. 21 | JULY | 2020 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG The Cobra Effect. July 21, 2020 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. “Our indicators tell us, we’re very close to a Lehman-like drawdown,” argues Larry McDonald, a former strategist at Société Générale who now runs The Bear Traps report.GREED BREAKS THINGS
Greed Breaks Things. March 29, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. RIP COVID-19 PORTFOLIO Risk-parity asset managers delivered their worst day in nearly 5 months this week, the $1.2 billion RPAR Risk Parity ETF plunged the most since the depths of the Covid rout in March. Positive Correlation – Stocks and Bonds. It was the worst single day for 5s (five-year Treasuries) since 2002. GAS PRICES, INFLATION AND INEQUALITY An increase in gasoline prices is a tax on consumer demand. A person making $45k a year only has so much money to spend. And every dollar made is spent. So if an extra dollar goes to gas, that is one less dollar to a component of Core CPI. So higher gasoline prices take demand away from other goods and services. RENEWABLE FROTH: MEMORIES OF THE DOT-COM BOOM Despite RSI at the highs (blow-off tops) in many renewable and technology equities, this bearish divergence is occurring in the most important equity index in the world – the S&P 500. Just like the dot-com peak, the quarterly RSI in the Index has been fading lower for a few years (loss of momentum), while the S&P 500’s price has hitnew
DON’T MAKE IT A LONG DANCE WITH THE DEVIL When stock XYZ falls -33%, stock 3XYZ falls -99%. This stock needs +9900% appreciation to get back to even! $100 would have gone to $1 and after a +147.75% (3 x 49.25%) rally, $1 becomes just $2.47! “ The Nasdaq 100 Index has NOT seen a -33% drawdown since TQQQ was created in 2010. Once it does, TQQQ’s prior high is likely to NEVERbe
A TURN IN THE CREDIT CYCLE THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT © – With Larry McDonald. Page 1 of 25 04/10/2017 A Turn in the Credit Cycle In this Note: - After years of robust growth, the U.S. car market OUR 21 LEHMAN SYSTEMIC RISK INDICATORS ARE ON THE RISE Switzerland $51B. Singapore $51B. One of our key 21 Lehman systemic risk indicators has been focused on China’s currency. At the Bear Traps Report, our passion is focused on helping our subscribers understand leading risk indictors. There are always warning signs which take place just BEFORE large, elevator shaft like drops in thestock market.
RISKS ANALYSIS, INVESTMENT NEWSLETTER, NEW YORK Since 2007, 68% of stock market returns are tied to political events". The Bear Traps report is a weekly independent Investment Research Publication focusing on global political and systemic risk with actionable trade ideas. The service is tailored for asset managers,hedge
THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Now we have seen everything. AMC´s 5.25s due in 2025 closed down a quarter-point at 79.796 cents on the dollar vs. the AMC equity 95% higher at $62.55. “After 30 years of trading stocks and bonds, 95% of the time I can assure you, credit leads equities. That´s a 12.25% yield to worst vs. 5 year 02 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG AMC Credit vs. Equity, Telling. June 2, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. APRIL | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG April 10, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – MARCH | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG On March 23, Morgan Stanley priced the stock sale at $85 (it traded as high as $100 hours later), Bakish should announce a stock buyback tonight at $45 and burn the Street’s britches into the history books. The stuff legends are made of. An Epic Unwind – Bear Traps Report from March 27, 2021. DRUCKENMILLER’S LOST TREE SPEECH, MORE IMPORTANT NOW THAN If you’ve never read this classic, the Stan Druckenmiller speech delivered in 2015 at the Lost Tree Club, in Florida – you’re in for a treat. It’s so inspiring – Druck’s passion for markets is like no other. Putting the pieces to the puzzle together means everything to him and everything to us. Above all, today – the wordson this
GAMING THE S&P 500 INCLUSION PROCESS Free Float and Influence. *Buying pressure from S&P inclusion: There is approximately $3.9Tr of pure index capital following the S&P 500. These are mostly index funds, including ETFs and mutual funds that mimic the S&P. TSLA market cap is $278bl but Musk owns 18.4% of the stock. The free-float market cap is therefore $220bl. OUR 2020 ELECTION SERIES PART II: ENERGYLARRY MCDONALD BEAR TRAPS REPORTLARRY MCDONALD BEAR TRAPSLARRY MCDONALD BEAR TRAPSBEAR TRAP INVESTINGBEAR TRAP INVESTING Our 20 20 Election Series Part II: Energy – October 21, 2020 Page The Bear Traps Report 2 of 33 With Larry McDonald Buy 1/3 RDS.A Royal Dutch Shell (Re-entering our Royal Dutch position after exiting in full in Q1's spike near $32. OUR 21 LEHMAN SYSTEMIC RISK INDICATORS ARE ON THE RISE Switzerland $51B. Singapore $51B. One of our key 21 Lehman systemic risk indicators has been focused on China’s currency. At the Bear Traps Report, our passion is focused on helping our subscribers understand leading risk indictors. There are always warning signs which take place just BEFORE large, elevator shaft like drops in thestock market.
A WALL ST. LEGEND LEAVES US WITH TIMELESS LESSONS McCarthy placed over $1.5 billion of bets against Countrywide Financial and Beazer Homes, he was a trader with unique market instincts, true vision. Before the crash, he wisely left the doomed firm in 2007 and made his fateful declaration to a large audience athis
RISKS ANALYSIS, INVESTMENT NEWSLETTER, NEW YORK Since 2007, 68% of stock market returns are tied to political events". The Bear Traps report is a weekly independent Investment Research Publication focusing on global political and systemic risk with actionable trade ideas. The service is tailored for asset managers,hedge
THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Now we have seen everything. AMC´s 5.25s due in 2025 closed down a quarter-point at 79.796 cents on the dollar vs. the AMC equity 95% higher at $62.55. “After 30 years of trading stocks and bonds, 95% of the time I can assure you, credit leads equities. That´s a 12.25% yield to worst vs. 5 year 02 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG AMC Credit vs. Equity, Telling. June 2, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. APRIL | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG April 10, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – MARCH | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG On March 23, Morgan Stanley priced the stock sale at $85 (it traded as high as $100 hours later), Bakish should announce a stock buyback tonight at $45 and burn the Street’s britches into the history books. The stuff legends are made of. An Epic Unwind – Bear Traps Report from March 27, 2021. DRUCKENMILLER’S LOST TREE SPEECH, MORE IMPORTANT NOW THAN If you’ve never read this classic, the Stan Druckenmiller speech delivered in 2015 at the Lost Tree Club, in Florida – you’re in for a treat. It’s so inspiring – Druck’s passion for markets is like no other. Putting the pieces to the puzzle together means everything to him and everything to us. Above all, today – the wordson this
GAMING THE S&P 500 INCLUSION PROCESS Free Float and Influence. *Buying pressure from S&P inclusion: There is approximately $3.9Tr of pure index capital following the S&P 500. These are mostly index funds, including ETFs and mutual funds that mimic the S&P. TSLA market cap is $278bl but Musk owns 18.4% of the stock. The free-float market cap is therefore $220bl. OUR 2020 ELECTION SERIES PART II: ENERGYLARRY MCDONALD BEAR TRAPS REPORTLARRY MCDONALD BEAR TRAPSLARRY MCDONALD BEAR TRAPSBEAR TRAP INVESTINGBEAR TRAP INVESTING Our 20 20 Election Series Part II: Energy – October 21, 2020 Page The Bear Traps Report 2 of 33 With Larry McDonald Buy 1/3 RDS.A Royal Dutch Shell (Re-entering our Royal Dutch position after exiting in full in Q1's spike near $32. OUR 21 LEHMAN SYSTEMIC RISK INDICATORS ARE ON THE RISE Switzerland $51B. Singapore $51B. One of our key 21 Lehman systemic risk indicators has been focused on China’s currency. At the Bear Traps Report, our passion is focused on helping our subscribers understand leading risk indictors. There are always warning signs which take place just BEFORE large, elevator shaft like drops in thestock market.
A WALL ST. LEGEND LEAVES US WITH TIMELESS LESSONS McCarthy placed over $1.5 billion of bets against Countrywide Financial and Beazer Homes, he was a trader with unique market instincts, true vision. Before the crash, he wisely left the doomed firm in 2007 and made his fateful declaration to a large audience athis
TIMELESS BITCOIN
Timeless Bitcoin. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. In the Mayan empire, the cocoa bean was the unit of exchange. The “Early Preclassic Maya” years 03 | JUNE | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Timeless Bitcoin. June 3, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. GAMING THE S&P 500 INCLUSION PROCESS Free Float and Influence. *Buying pressure from S&P inclusion: There is approximately $3.9Tr of pure index capital following the S&P 500. These are mostly index funds, including ETFs and mutual funds that mimic the S&P. TSLA market cap is $278bl but Musk owns 18.4% of the stock. The free-float market cap is therefore $220bl. JUNE | 2020 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Human, All Too Human. June 12, 2020 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. “Our indicators tell us, we’re very close to a Lehman-like drawdown,” argues Larry McDonald, a former strategist at Société Générale who now runs The Bear Trapsreport.
GREED BREAKS THINGS
Greed Breaks Things. March 29, 2021 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. Institutional investors can join our live chat on Bloomberg, a groundbreaking venue, just email tatiana@thebeartrapsreport.com – Thank you. LGM. RIP COVID-19 PORTFOLIO Risk-parity asset managers delivered their worst day in nearly 5 months this week, the $1.2 billion RPAR Risk Parity ETF plunged the most since the depths of the Covid rout in March. Positive Correlation – Stocks and Bonds. It was the worst single day for 5s (five-year Treasuries) since 2002. FEBRUARY | 2021 | THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT BLOG Then the US treasury brought another* $100B for sale (5-7 year paper) this week. Anemic demand triggered the now historic, 6sd (standard deviation ) blow-up in 5s. *total $1.8T U.S. Treasuries for sale in 2021, ABOVE Fed asset purchases. Don’t miss our next trade idea. Get on the Bear Traps Report Today, click here. GAS PRICES, INFLATION AND INEQUALITY An increase in gasoline prices is a tax on consumer demand. A person making $45k a year only has so much money to spend. And every dollar made is spent. So if an extra dollar goes to gas, that is one less dollar to a component of Core CPI. So higher gasoline prices take demand away from other goods and services. INSIDE THE SUPPLEMENTARY LEVERAGE RATIO SLR The Supplementary Leverage Ratio SLR is the ultimate measure of capital adequacy. If the Fed doesn’t extent the SLR, it will have a large impact on the bond market, stress is high. Essentially, the SLR measures in percentage terms a bank’s ability to take losses on its assets. The formula is SLR = (tier 1 capital)/ (total leverageexposure).
A DEDICATION TO CHRISTINE DALEY, 1958-2020 A Dedication to Christine Daley, 1958-2020. July 26, 2020 NY Times Bestselling author Lawrence McDonald Leave a comment. Christine Daley was a beautiful person, a unique and rare talent. She will be missed by so many, on and off Wall St. Through the years, there are those moments when someone touches you in a profound and special way,changes
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Medium to Long Term Strategies ------------------------- MORE THAN 700 APPEARANCES, CNBC, BLOOMBERG, FOX, MSNBC, CNN Over the last decade our Larry McDonald has made more than 700 appearances on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox, MSNBC, CNN and the Academy Award winning documentary Inside Job. _- Check our appearances here_
To Learn more about THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT please contact inquires@thebeartrapsreport.com ------------------------- “OUR INDICATORS TELL US, WE’RE VERY CLOSE TO A LEHMAN-LIKEDRAWDOWN,”
“Our indicators tell us, we’re very close to a Lehman-like drawdown,” argues Larry McDonald, a former strategist at Société Générale who now runs The Bear Traps report. _- Financial Times, February 20, 2020 _ To Learn more about THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT please contact inquires@thebeartrapsreport.com ------------------------- GET A FREE SAMPLE FROM THE BEAR TRAPS Over 75 of the top 100 asset managers in the world turn to The Bear Traps Reports every week for analysis, trading ideas and actionable research with no bias. To Learn more about THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT check this free sample:GET REPORT!
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------------------------- CONGRATULATIONS TO OUR LARRY MCDONALD, ONE OF THE BEST FINANCE BOOKSOF ALL TIME - CFA
_LARRY'S BOOK AMONG THE BEST 20 FINANCIAL BOOKS OF ALL TIMES AS PERCFA INSTITUTE_
The list features _A Colossal Failure of Common Sense: The Inside Story of the Collapse of Lehman Brothers—Lawrence McDonald and Patrick Robinson (2010)_ and includes titles like Liar’s Poker—Michael Lewis, Chasing Goldman Sachs: How the Masters of the Universe Melted Wall Street Down—And Why They’ll Take Us to the Brink Again—Suzanne McGee, Too Big to Fail: The Inside Story of How Wall Street and Washington Fought to Save the Financial System and Themselves—Andrew Ross Sorkin, Barbarians at the Gate: The Fall of RJR Nabisco—Bryan Burrough and John Helyar, The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday achine—Michael Lewis, One Up on Wall Street: How to Use What You Already Know to Make Money in the Market—Peter Lynch with John Rothchild, and others. Read the full list here. Please email us at inquires@thebeartrapsreport.com to know more. ------------------------- REALVISION - THE LARRY MCDONALD SERIES: MARK CUBAN - JUNE 6TH, 2020 _THIS FEELS A LOT LIKE THE INTERNET BUBBLE _ In this conversation with New York Times best-selling author and The Bear Traps Report founder Larry McDonald, Cuban explores the eerie similarities between that market and today’s. They also discuss the reopening for the NBA and beyond, Cuban’s economic outlook amid unprecedented uncertainty, and the current political situation in the U.S. that has many asking, “When will Mark Cuban run forpresident?”
- June 6th, 2020.
Watch the event here. Please email us at inquires@thebeartrapsreport.com to know more. ------------------------- THE HOT MIC, CONVERSATION SERIES WITH BEAR TRAPS REPORT FEAT CB1 - TODD HARRISON, JUNE 9TH, 2020 _Cannabis: State of the Union with Todd Harrison and Our 2020 Election Series, Sectors in Focus._ We were join by Todd Harrison. Todd Harrison is the Founding Partner of CB1 and our Chief Investment Officer. Todd has spent almost three decades on Wall Street managing risk and researching financial marketstrategies.
- June 9th, 2020.
Watch the event here. Please email us at inquires@thebeartrapsreport.com to know more. ------------------------- CNBC'S CONTRIBUTOR JON NAJARIAN 1 ON 1 WITH OUR LARRY MCDONALD, MARCH27TH, 2020
_Market Rebelion and CNBC's contributor John Najarian 1 on 1 with our Larry McDonald, founder and editor of The Bear Traps Report._ In the event hosted via Zoom, Jon and Larry discussed the various implications of the current situation- March 27th, 2020.
Watch the event here. Please email us at inquires@thebeartrapsreport.com to know more. ------------------------- FOX BUSINESS INTERVIEW WITH MARIA BARTIROMO, MARCH 26TH, 2020 Our Larry McDonald, founder and editor of The Bear Traps Report was invited by Maria Bartiromo to provide his insights and Macro forecast on her show, we are very grateful for being part of the segment- March 26th, 2020.
About The Show
"Mornings with Maria" features anchor Maria Bartiromo alongside a roundtable of rotating industry titans and economic experts discussing the major news and themes driving the business day and the marketmoves.
Please email us at inquires@thebeartrapsreport.com to know more. ------------------------- BEAR TRAPS REPORT - INVESTOR ROUNDTABLE APRIL 25TH, 2019 _Event sponsored by 1933 Industries, (click to know more about them) 1933 Industries is a global cannabis company that is passionate about growing winning brands and delivering products that enhance, enrichand change lives._
In the event we invited leaders from across global-macro and political finance to bring you the latest in a wide variety of topics from BREXIT to Cannabis and much more. Please email us at inquires@thebeartrapsreport.com to know more. UK's Nigel Farage, NY Times Best Selling Author Larry McDonald, CNBC’s Jon Najarian, Cannabis Guru Todd Harrison and The "Big Short"'s Danny Moses joined us in Miami at our April Event. ------------------------- OCTOBER 2, 2018 - Our Larry provided the keynote at NAFOA 2018 Fall Finance & Tribal Economies Conference OCTOBER 18-19, 2018 - Larry provided the keynote at the Municipal Advisory Council of Texas in their 2018 Conference in San AntonioTexas
OCTOBER 19, 2018 - Larry met with Norway's DNB Markets , providing the Keynote at their event NOVEMBER 13-14, 2018 - Larry delivered the keynote at Newport Beach, CA for the Inside Fixed Income & Dividend Investing Summit IF YOU WOULD LIKE TO KNOW MORE ABOUT THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT PLEASE EMAIL INQUIRES@THEBEARTRAPSREPORT.COM THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT_
The Bear Traps report is a weekly independent Investment Research Publication focusing on global political and systemic risk with actionable trade ideas. The service is tailored for asset managers, hedge funds, financial advisors, traders and more. Our report allows investors to spend a lot less time diving through research reports. We strive to get to the meat of what is moving markets. Along with actionable trade ideas, we provide clients with a timely, first-hand look at global political market moving events. Our teams on the ground in New York, Toronto, Washington, Puerto Rico, Brussels, Dublin, Rio (Brazil) and Beijing (China) bring you closer to what ismoving markets.
> Since 2008, it's becoming ever more clear that politics is edging > out economics as the key driver of markets"> BOFA
As governments and central banks drive markets, we turn these policy decisions into actionable trade ideas for clients around the world. Credit and political risks have a lot more impact on central bank policy decisions than economic data. Today, there is nothing more important than staying on top of global political systemic risk, these factors are moving markets like never before. Our independent investment research stems from an elite team of analysts and strategists with real trading floor experience. Bear Traps was founded by Lawrence McDonald, he has spent 30 years working on Wall Street. He was formerly a senior distressed debt trader at Lehman Brothers and was part of the team that made $2 billion betting against the U.S housing market. > The Bear Traps Report delivers clients a unique approach measuring > political policy risk and opportunities, investor sentiment - > positioning and capitulation. Capital gains are found by discounting > the obvious and being there for the unexpected.LAWRENCE MCDONALD The Bear Traps trading ideas are centered around macro market moving events. Ideas stem from former Wall Street traders, and using a 7 factor model we score and rank stocks, ETF’s and sectors for the perfect opportunity to deploy capital. The report will give you a complete view of the global markets, where to spot opportunities, and how to avoid risk. The letter is unique and unbiased, unlike any other research on Wall Street. This enables our subscribers to spend more time on business development by having access to our analysts’ expert opinions and a more in-depth reach of political market moving events around the globe. Getting ahead of systemic risk coming at us from Asia, Europe and Latin America will help clients avoid substantial losses and generate above average returns. > Looking at the current market landscape, political factors are more > important than macro economic issues.BILLIONAIRE, RAY DALIO -> JANUARY 2018
POLITICAL RISK EVENTS MOVING MARKETS: Subprime Crisis 2007 Lehman, Bear Sterns & Fannie & Freddie 2008Grexit Risk 2010
Debt Ceiling 2013
Russia 2014
Central Bank Divergence 2015Asia 2016
Brexit 2016
Turkey Coup 2016
Elections 2016
LAWRENCE MCDONALD
NY TIMES BEST SELLING AUTHOR, CNBC CONTRIBUTOR BEAR TRAPS REPORT CREATOR Bloomberg The Open - Jonathan Ferro - Larry McDonald, The Bear Traps Report Jonathan Ferro highlights the market-moving news you need to know heading into the opening bell on Wall Street. Stocks fluctuated as investors weighed the inflationary signals from economic reports against dovish reassurances from Federal Reserve officials. Laura Kane of UBS, Jay Pelosky of TPW, Rob Waldner of Invesco and Larry McDonald of the Bear Traps Report weigh in. (Source:Bloomberg)
LARRY MCDONALD is a New York Times bestselling author, CNBC contributor, and Political Risk Expert. He is also the creator of THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT, a weekly independent Macro Research Platform focusing on global political and systemic risk with actionable tradeideas.
Thought-provoking Larry McDonald presents his captivating views on the Trump Administration, U.S. Financial Crisis, European Sovereign Debt, and China’s Economic Meltdown - spiced with actionable risk indicators, risk management lessons, and sprinkled with humor. In 2016, Larry McDonald joined ACG ANALYTICS IN WASHINGTON D.C., as a partner with a unique skill set, as one of today’s leading political policy risk consultants and strategists. From 2011 – 2016, he was Managing Director and Head of U.S. Macro Strategy at SociétéGénérale.
In 2010 he founded an investment research firm which publishes the THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT, focused on Political and Systemic Risk with actionable trade ideas. Larry makes weekly appearances on CNBC as a contributor focused on political and economic risk and opportunities. In late 2006, as Vice President at Lehman Brothers, he led his team into betting against the subprime mortgage market, profiting the firm over $2 billion before its demise. In 2009, he wrote the international bestseller A COLOSSAL FAILURE OF COMMON SENSE, THE INSIDE STORY OF THE COLLAPSE OF LEHMAN BROTHERS - translated into 12 languages, selling over 400,000 copies. Prior to working at Lehman, he was the co-founder of _CONVERTBOND.COM_, a website that provided convertible securities information with news, valuation, terms and analysis tools for convertible bonds, convertible preferred stocks, and other convertible securities. Convertbond was acquired by Morgan Stanley in 1999. Larry McDonald’s proprietary risk indicators and risk management lessons are designed for Family Offices, Sovereign Wealth Funds, Hedge-Funds, and any investment group working to avoid the dangerous pitfalls in the post-Lehman financial markets. McDonald was featured in the Academy Award winning documentary: INSIDE JOB, and also featured in National Geographic’s award winning documentary: THE 2000’S. He is a regular contributor on Bloomberg TV and Radio, Forbes, CNBC and Fox Business. LARRY HAS DELIVERED OVER 125 KEYNOTE SPEECHES WORLDWIDE. He details the complexities of the political policy implications of the Trump Administration and their relationship with Congress. Larry also adds the Lehman factor to his speeches, “why it was allowed to fail”, and above all - valuable risk indicators which help investors avoid the aftershocks that continue to rock the global economy until today. His presentations are thought-provoking and captivating. LARRY MCDONALD AS A KEYNOTE SPEAKER provides rare insight into topicssuch as:
• Trump Presidency - Political Risk in 2017: An analysis of theMarket Impact.
• Global Systemic Risk: A perspective on Trade and NAFTARe-negotiations
• U.S. Global Economic Outlook: Market Impact of the Tax Reform fromWashington D.C.
• China: The Epicenter of Risk and Unimaginable Debt • The Rise and Fall of Emerging Market Economies • Investment Risk Management • Quantitative Easing, Federal Reserve Policy, and theirside-effects
PAST SPEAKING EVENTS: • Inside Fixed Income & Dividend Investing Summit • Norway's DNB Markets • Municipal Advisory Council of Texas in their 2018 Conference inSan Antonio Texas
• NAFOA 2018 Fall Finance & Tribal Economies Conference • Janus Henderson UK Investors Conference (London, UK) • Financial Olympus National Prize (Moscow, Russia) • National Bank of Abu Dhabi (United Arab Emirates) • Rand Merchant Bank (South Africa) • Barclays / ABSA (South Africa) • Hartford Insurance Company (New York City)• IBM (Seattle)
• Walkers Global (San Francisco) • Regulatory Compliance (Boca Raton) • Montreal Stock Exchange (Canada) • Calamos Mutual Funds (Chicago) • Franklin Templeton (Los Angeles) • Danske Bank (Norway) > Thoroughly enjoyable. A wealth of information." > FRANKLIN TEMPLETON > Fantastic lecture. The clients loved it. Packed with lifelong > trading and risk management lessons." > DANSKE BANK, NORWAY > A very clever way to use the past mistakes to predict the future. > His lecture about global market risk was extremely valuable for our > team of asset managers." > HARTFORD MUTUAL FUNDS > I loved it. You'll have to come again next year." > UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA, ETHICS AND LEADERSHIP DEPARTMENT > Larry's presentation is a treasure chest full of Business Ethics, > Sustainability and Risk Management Lessons." > HARVARD BUSINESS SCHOOL ADDITIONAL INFORMATION Contact: lgm@lawrencegmcdonald.com Website: http://www.lawrencegmcdonald.com Book Publication: “A Colossal Failure of Common Sense: The Inside Story of the Collapse of Lehman Brothers,” Published by Crown Business, a division of Random House Twitter: @convertbond Over 50,000 followers on Twitter, Facebook, and LinkedIn ------------------------- THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT Investment Research Publication The Bear Traps Report provides weekly insights, highlighting the impact of the political world onto the global financial markets, making specific investment calls. Check our Memberships: ------------------------- WHY YOU SHOULD SUBSCRIBE_
> Solid team, analysis and research, we have been thoroughly impressed > with the Bear Traps Report. Their depth and coverage across asset > classes adds substantial client value.” > CHRIS HAGEN, LPL FINANCIAL_
Our readers receive specific investments alerts, when to enter a position and when to sell. Our actionable ideas are derived from political market moving events. i.e Federal Reserve policy decisions. Our vast resources cover; fixed income, stocks, commodities, ETF’sand volatility.
Bear Traps reveals the dangers of future political moves and guides investors along the pathway to safety. Subscribers will get the very best actionable ideas and risk management indicators from one of the most recognized independent teams in the industry. > The Bear Traps Report delivers clients a unique approach measuring > political policy risk and opportunities, investor sentiment - > positioning and capitulation. Capital gains are found by discounting > the obvious and being there for the unexpected." > LAWRENCE MCDONALD ------------------------- THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT Investment Research Publication The Bear Traps Report provides weekly insights, highlighting the impact of the political world onto the global financial markets, making specific investment calls. Check our Memberships: ------------------------- ------------------------- INVESTING FROM THE BEATING HEART OF WALL STREET The Bear Traps Team uncovers specific opportunities in a variety of investment sectors, as they understand and share with their subscribers how these macroeconomic forces affect different asset classes. This will help investors by gauging the risk vs reward and spot the opportune moment to deploy capital in: * US CREDIT – Full analysis of US & global Credit Markets. * US ECONOMY – In depth look at the economic conditions in the US. * US MARKETS – Examination of equity markets, packed with tradesand warning signs.
* EUROPE – Political and credit analysis of the Eurozone. * ASIA – Keeping a watchful eye on China and Japanese risks. * EMERGING MARKETS – Always searching for the great buy signals,and risks.
* COMMODITIES – Tracking gold, oil and the mining markets. * TRADING IDEAS – Our highest conviction short and long termtrades.
Our Team includes analysts in New York, Washington D.C., Toronto, Dublin, Frankfurt, Beijing, Puerto Rico and Brazil. ------------------------- THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT Investment Research Publication The Bear Traps Report provides weekly insights, highlighting the impact of the political world onto the global financial markets, making specific investment calls. Check our Memberships: -------------------------*
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THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT Investment Research Publication Over 90 of the world's largest asset managers and hedge funds use The Bear Traps Report as their political policy risk assessment advisor. Pithy research with actionable trade ideas.For a limited time,
GET 12 MONTHS FOR THE PRICE OF 10! Let me check your website first THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT Investment Research Publication Thank you for your interest on THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT with Larry McDonald, please fill out the information below. Leave this opportunity RECENT EVENTS - THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT × OCTOBER 2, 2018 - Our Larry provided the keynote at NAFOA 2018 Fall Finance & Tribal Economies Conference OCTOBER 18-19, 2018 - Larry provided the keynote at the Municipal Advisory Council of Texas in their 2018 Conference in San AntonioTexas
OCTOBER 19, 2018 - Larry met with Norway's DNB Markets , providing the Keynote at their event NOVEMBER 13-14, 2018 - Larry delivered the keynote at Newport Beach, CA for the Inside Fixed Income & Dividend Investing Summit IF YOU WOULD LIKE TO KNOW MORE ABOUT THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT PLEASE EMAIL INQUIRES@THEBEARTRAPSREPORT.COMClose
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