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COVID-19: GOVERNMENT INTERVENTIONS AND THE ECONOMY The COVID-19 pandemic has prompted a vast spectrum of unprecedented government interventions. This column discusses the impact of various interventions on COVID-19 transmission dynamics and the associated economic consequences. Examining the variation in government policies, it finds that policies such as lockdown, school closure, centralised quarantine and mask wearing are HOW DIFFERENT TECHNOLOGIES AFFECT DIFFERENT WORKERS Since the early 1980s, technology has reduced the demand for low and medium-skill workers, the young, and women, especially in manufacturing industries. The column investigates which technologies have had the largest effect, and on which types of worker. It finds that robots and software raised the demand for high-skill workers, older workers, and men, especially in service RE-EVALUATING THE SOURCES OF THE RECENT PRODUCTIVITY Labour productivity is a key determinant in improving living standards. But in recent years, productivity has stagnated, if not declined, in many countries around the world. This column re-evaluates the various reasons as to why this might be, applying three criteria to the existing explanations for the slowdown. It finds that the slowdown in productivity can be attributed to POPULISM IN LATIN AMERICA 1 day ago · Latin America has a long history of populist government. New research by Antonio Spilimbergo quantifies the consequences of populism for the region's institutions and economies TURNING COMPETITION RESEARCH INTO COMPETITION POLICY The CEPR's Research Policy Network on competition policy launches this week. In the first of two special podcasts on the topic, Greg Crawford and Cristina Caffarra tell Tim Phillips why it is so important to have this debate now, and how academics can use the RPN to LOW-PERFORMING BOYS ARE PARTICULARLY AFFECTED BY FAMILY 1 day ago · Modest gender gaps emerge in primary school, with girls tending to perform better than boys in reading tests, for example, and less likely to experience disciplinary incidents that result in suspension. This column uses data from the US state of Florida to examine why these modest gaps translate into large gender differences in later educational attainment, such as completing HETEROGENOUS EFFECTS OF COVID-19 ON HOUSEHOLDS' FINANCIAL The coronavirus pandemic has generated a complex economic shock that has affected households across the euro area very differently. This column uses survey data from around 10,000 households across Europe to reveal substantial divergences in the pandemic-induced financial concerns of households across population subgroups and countries. VOX, CEPR POLICY PORTALCOLUMNSCOVID-19VOX MULTIMEDIAPUBLICATIONSBLOGS&REVIEWSPEOPLE The coronavirus pandemic has generated a complex economic shock that has affected households across the euro area very differently. This column uses survey data from around 10,000 households across Europe to reveal substantial divergences in the pandemic-induced financialconcerns of
PARENTAL AGE AND BIRTH DISORDERS: A SIBLING STUDY 41 minutes ago · Although increased parental age has been a suspected risk factor for adverse offspring outcomes, the findings from the existing medical and epidemiological literature are mixed. The existing literature compares children with parents of different age across families, which is problematic because both parental age and birth defects may correlate with genetic variables and GENDER AND EMPLOYMENT DURING COVID-19: THE EVIDENCE FOR Gender and employment during COVID-19: The evidence for 'she-cessions'. Francesca Caselli of the IMF talks to Tim Phillips about evidence for the extent and persistence of pandemic-induced she-cessions, drawing on quarterly data from 38 advanced and emerging market economies, which uncovers significant heterogeneity acrosscountries.
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EDUCATION THE LARGE AND UNEQUAL IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON WORKERS The spread of COVID-19 has already had a large negative impact on labour supply and earnings of workers in many countries. In this column, the authors leverage newly collected data from the US and the UK to show that these negative consequences are particularly harsh for younger workers, those with unstable employment relationships and lower labour income. FLATTENING THE PANDEMIC AND RECESSION CURVES Public health policy, at least in all semi-decently run countries, has aimed to ‘flatten the Covid-19 curve’ by imposing drastic social distancing measures and promoting health practices to reduce the transmission rate. This column, taken from a VoxEU eBook, explains how, in the short run, flattening the infection curve inevitably steepens the macroeconomic recession curve. ECONOMICS IN THE TIME OF COVID-19 Economics in the Time of COVID-19 Edited by Richard Baldwin and Beatrice Weder di Mauro A CEPR Press VoxEU.org eBook CEPR Press The views expressed in this book are THE RISE OF DIGITAL CURRENCY THE BLOCKCHAIN CATALYST FOR CHANGE The idea of a new software system that powers a consensus-driven form of shared record keeping has already had a profound effect, encouraging rapid and substantial investment in what is now commonly referred to as blockchain technology. This column introduces the latest Geneva Report on the World Economy, which assesses the available evidence and likely impact for this HOW DIFFERENT TECHNOLOGIES AFFECT DIFFERENT WORKERS VOX, CEPR POLICY PORTALCOLUMNSCOVID-19VOX MULTIMEDIAPUBLICATIONSBLOGS&REVIEWSPEOPLE The coronavirus pandemic has generated a complex economic shock that has affected households across the euro area very differently. This column uses survey data from around 10,000 households across Europe to reveal substantial divergences in the pandemic-induced financialconcerns of
PARENTAL AGE AND BIRTH DISORDERS: A SIBLING STUDY 41 minutes ago · Although increased parental age has been a suspected risk factor for adverse offspring outcomes, the findings from the existing medical and epidemiological literature are mixed. The existing literature compares children with parents of different age across families, which is problematic because both parental age and birth defects may correlate with genetic variables and GENDER AND EMPLOYMENT DURING COVID-19: THE EVIDENCE FOR Gender and employment during COVID-19: The evidence for 'she-cessions'. Francesca Caselli of the IMF talks to Tim Phillips about evidence for the extent and persistence of pandemic-induced she-cessions, drawing on quarterly data from 38 advanced and emerging market economies, which uncovers significant heterogeneity acrosscountries.
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EDUCATION THE LARGE AND UNEQUAL IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON WORKERS The spread of COVID-19 has already had a large negative impact on labour supply and earnings of workers in many countries. In this column, the authors leverage newly collected data from the US and the UK to show that these negative consequences are particularly harsh for younger workers, those with unstable employment relationships and lower labour income. FLATTENING THE PANDEMIC AND RECESSION CURVES Public health policy, at least in all semi-decently run countries, has aimed to ‘flatten the Covid-19 curve’ by imposing drastic social distancing measures and promoting health practices to reduce the transmission rate. This column, taken from a VoxEU eBook, explains how, in the short run, flattening the infection curve inevitably steepens the macroeconomic recession curve. ECONOMICS IN THE TIME OF COVID-19 Economics in the Time of COVID-19 Edited by Richard Baldwin and Beatrice Weder di Mauro A CEPR Press VoxEU.org eBook CEPR Press The views expressed in this book are THE RISE OF DIGITAL CURRENCY THE BLOCKCHAIN CATALYST FOR CHANGE The idea of a new software system that powers a consensus-driven form of shared record keeping has already had a profound effect, encouraging rapid and substantial investment in what is now commonly referred to as blockchain technology. This column introduces the latest Geneva Report on the World Economy, which assesses the available evidence and likely impact for this HOW DIFFERENT TECHNOLOGIES AFFECT DIFFERENT WORKERSCOVID-19 PAGE
This ‘Vox Debate ’ gathers research-based policy analysis and commentary on the economics of COVID-19 from leading economists. The topics will cover all the usual international mechanisms of contagion (trade, capital flows, financial institutions, expectations, etc) as well as the domestic impact such as the size, persistence, andsectoral
ECONOMICS IN THE TIME OF COVID-19 1 Macroeconomics of the flu. Beatrice Weder di Mauro. 2 Tackling the fallout from COVID-19. Laurence Boone. 3 The economic impact of COVID-19. Warwick McKibbin and Roshen Fernando. 4 Novel coronavirus hurts the Middle East and North Africa through many channels. Rabah Arezki and Ha Nguyen. 5 Thinking ahead about the trade impact ofCOVID-19.
CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR START-UPS IN THE TIME OF Start-ups play a key role in OECD economies, but the COVID-19 crisis is reducing their creation, challenging their survival, and limiting their growth. Business registrations have been dropping significantly in recent months and a missing generation of new firms has significant implications for economic outcomes, notably employment. This column argues that these can be PARENTAL AGE AND BIRTH DISORDERS: A SIBLING STUDY 41 minutes ago · Although increased parental age has been a suspected risk factor for adverse offspring outcomes, the findings from the existing medical and epidemiological literature are mixed. The existing literature compares children with parents of different age across families, which is problematic because both parental age and birth defects may correlate with genetic variables and THE DISCIPLINING EFFECT OF SUPERVISORY SCRUTINY IN THE EU Since the financial crisis, stress tests have become an important supervisory and financial stability tool. Relying on confidential data available at the ECB, this column presents novel evidence that supervisory scrutiny associated with stress testing has a disciplining effect on bank risk. Banks that participated in the 2016 EU-wide stress test subsequently reduced their UNDERSTANDING HOW CENTRAL BANKS USE THEIR BALANCE SHEETS Since the Global Crisis, the size of central bank balance sheets has grown significantly. Traditional goals of price and financial stability are insufficient for assessing the success of modern central banking operations. This column introduces a new framework for categorising and understanding central bank balance sheet operations. Monetary policy decisions are separated from POPULISM IN LATIN AMERICA 13 hours ago · Latin America has a long history of populist government. New research by Antonio Spilimbergo quantifies the consequences of populism for the region's institutions and economies LOW-PERFORMING BOYS ARE PARTICULARLY AFFECTED BY FAMILY 23 hours ago · Modest gender gaps emerge in primary school, with girls tending to perform better than boys in reading tests, for example, and less likely to experience disciplinary incidents that result in suspension. This column uses data from the US state of Florida to examine why these modest gaps translate into large gender differences in later educational attainment, such as completing HOW DIFFERENT TECHNOLOGIES AFFECT DIFFERENT WORKERS Since the early 1980s, technology has reduced the demand for low and medium-skill workers, the young, and women, especially in manufacturing industries. The column investigates which technologies have had the largest effect, and on which types of worker. It finds that robots and software raised the demand for high-skill workers, older workers, and men, especially in service TURNING COMPETITION RESEARCH INTO COMPETITION POLICY The CEPR's Research Policy Network on competition policy launches this week. In the first of two special podcasts on the topic, Greg Crawford and Cristina Caffarra tell Tim Phillips why it is so important to have this debate now, and how academics can use the RPN to VOX, CEPR POLICY PORTALCOLUMNSCOVID-19VOX MULTIMEDIAPUBLICATIONSBLOGS&REVIEWSPEOPLE The coronavirus pandemic has generated a complex economic shock that has affected households across the euro area very differently. This column uses survey data from around 10,000 households across Europe to reveal substantial divergences in the pandemic-induced financialconcerns of
GENDER AND EMPLOYMENT DURING COVID-19: THE EVIDENCE FOR Francesca Caselli of the IMF talks to Tim Phillips about evidence for the extent and persistence of pandemic-induced she-cessions, drawing on quarterly data from 38 advanced and emerging market economies, which uncovers significant heterogeneity across countries. In two-thirds of the countries HOW TO IMPROVE TAX COMPLIANCE THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EDUCATION THE BLOCKCHAIN CATALYST FOR CHANGE The idea of a new software system that powers a consensus-driven form of shared record keeping has already had a profound effect, encouraging rapid and substantial investment in what is now commonly referred to as blockchain technology. This column introduces the latest Geneva Report on the World Economy, which assesses the available evidence and likely impact for this THE LARGE AND UNEQUAL IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON WORKERS The spread of COVID-19 has already had a large negative impact on labour supply and earnings of workers in many countries. In this column, the authors leverage newly collected data from the US and the UK to show that these negative consequences are particularly harsh for younger workers, those with unstable employment relationships and lower labour income. SHADOW BANKING AND THE ECONOMY HOW DIFFERENT TECHNOLOGIES AFFECT DIFFERENT WORKERS FLATTENING THE PANDEMIC AND RECESSION CURVES Public health policy, at least in all semi-decently run countries, has aimed to ‘flatten the Covid-19 curve’ by imposing drastic social distancing measures and promoting health practices to reduce the transmission rate. This column, taken from a VoxEU eBook, explains how, in the short run, flattening the infection curve inevitably steepens the macroeconomic recession curve. THE RISE OF DIGITAL CURRENCY VOX, CEPR POLICY PORTALCOLUMNSCOVID-19VOX MULTIMEDIAPUBLICATIONSBLOGS&REVIEWSPEOPLE The coronavirus pandemic has generated a complex economic shock that has affected households across the euro area very differently. This column uses survey data from around 10,000 households across Europe to reveal substantial divergences in the pandemic-induced financialconcerns of
GENDER AND EMPLOYMENT DURING COVID-19: THE EVIDENCE FOR Francesca Caselli of the IMF talks to Tim Phillips about evidence for the extent and persistence of pandemic-induced she-cessions, drawing on quarterly data from 38 advanced and emerging market economies, which uncovers significant heterogeneity across countries. In two-thirds of the countries HOW TO IMPROVE TAX COMPLIANCE THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EDUCATION THE BLOCKCHAIN CATALYST FOR CHANGE The idea of a new software system that powers a consensus-driven form of shared record keeping has already had a profound effect, encouraging rapid and substantial investment in what is now commonly referred to as blockchain technology. This column introduces the latest Geneva Report on the World Economy, which assesses the available evidence and likely impact for this THE LARGE AND UNEQUAL IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON WORKERS The spread of COVID-19 has already had a large negative impact on labour supply and earnings of workers in many countries. In this column, the authors leverage newly collected data from the US and the UK to show that these negative consequences are particularly harsh for younger workers, those with unstable employment relationships and lower labour income. SHADOW BANKING AND THE ECONOMY HOW DIFFERENT TECHNOLOGIES AFFECT DIFFERENT WORKERS FLATTENING THE PANDEMIC AND RECESSION CURVES Public health policy, at least in all semi-decently run countries, has aimed to ‘flatten the Covid-19 curve’ by imposing drastic social distancing measures and promoting health practices to reduce the transmission rate. This column, taken from a VoxEU eBook, explains how, in the short run, flattening the infection curve inevitably steepens the macroeconomic recession curve. THE RISE OF DIGITAL CURRENCY LOW-PERFORMING BOYS ARE PARTICULARLY AFFECTED BY FAMILY 19 hours ago · Modest gender gaps emerge in primary school, with girls tending to perform better than boys in reading tests, for example, and less likely to experience disciplinary incidents that result in suspension. This column uses data from the US state of Florida to examine why these modest gaps translate into large gender differences in later educational attainment, such as completing GLOBALISATION AND THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC Unlike previous infectious diseases, which tended to be connected to poor environments, the epicentres of the COVID-19 pandemic have been the wealthiest metropolises of industrialised countries. This column argues that the population concentration in large cities has provoked an even more intensive agglomeration of social and economic activitiesin high-interaction
RE-EVALUATING THE SOURCES OF THE RECENT PRODUCTIVITY Labour productivity is a key determinant in improving living standards. But in recent years, productivity has stagnated, if not declined, in many countries around the world. This column re-evaluates the various reasons as to why this might be, applying three criteria to the existing explanations for the slowdown. It finds that the slowdown in productivity can be attributed to COVID-19: GOVERNMENT INTERVENTIONS AND THE ECONOMY The COVID-19 pandemic has prompted a vast spectrum of unprecedented government interventions. This column discusses the impact of various interventions on COVID-19 transmission dynamics and the associated economic consequences. Examining the variation in government policies, it finds that policies such as lockdown, school closure, centralised quarantine and mask wearing are HOW RUSSIAN BANKS ANTICIPATED AND DEALT WITH GLOBAL 1 day ago · Financial sanctions against Russia’s state-owned and controlled banks were imposed consecutively between 2014 and 2019, allowing banks that would potentially be targeted in the future to adjust their international and domestic exposures. This column explores the informational effects of financial sanctions, showing thatcompared to similar private banks, ‘not yet UNDERSTANDING HOW CENTRAL BANKS USE THEIR BALANCE SHEETS Since the Global Crisis, the size of central bank balance sheets has grown significantly. Traditional goals of price and financial stability are insufficient for assessing the success of modern central banking operations. This column introduces a new framework for categorising and understanding central bank balance sheet operations. Monetary policy decisions are separated from TURNING COMPETITION RESEARCH INTO COMPETITION POLICY The CEPR's Research Policy Network on competition policy launches this week. In the first of two special podcasts on the topic, Greg Crawford and Cristina Caffarra tell Tim Phillips why it is so important to have this debate now, and how academics can use the RPN to THE DISCIPLINING EFFECT OF SUPERVISORY SCRUTINY IN THE EU Since the financial crisis, stress tests have become an important supervisory and financial stability tool. Relying on confidential data available at the ECB, this column presents novel evidence that supervisory scrutiny associated with stress testing has a disciplining effect on bank risk. Banks that participated in the 2016 EU-wide stress test subsequently reduced their HOW DIFFERENT TECHNOLOGIES AFFECT DIFFERENT WORKERS Since the early 1980s, technology has reduced the demand for low and medium-skill workers, the young, and women, especially in manufacturing industries. The column investigates which technologies have had the largest effect, and on which types of worker. It finds that robots and software raised the demand for high-skill workers, older workers, and men, especially in service EARNINGS INEQUALITY AND DYNAMICS IN THE PRESENCE OF Relatively little is known about the patterns of inequality in developing countries, despite their importance for designing social and economic policies. This column analyses administrative and household data to describe the trends in earnings inequality and dynamics in Brazil since late 1980s. The findings suggest that the observed fall in earnings inequality and volatility VOX, CEPR POLICY PORTALCOLUMNSCOVID-19VOX MULTIMEDIAPUBLICATIONSBLOGS&REVIEWSPEOPLE Global food security is being threatened by the COVID-19 pandemic and the restrictive measures to control it. Jammed food supply chains, falling incomes for some population segments, and rising food prices are placing food out of reach for millions of THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EDUCATION INFLATION IN THE AFTERMATH OF WARS AND PANDEMICS GENDER AND EMPLOYMENT DURING COVID-19: THE EVIDENCE FOR Francesca Caselli of the IMF talks to Tim Phillips about evidence for the extent and persistence of pandemic-induced she-cessions, drawing on quarterly data from 38 advanced and emerging market economies, which uncovers significant heterogeneity across countries. In two-thirds of the countries MASS GATHERINGS CONTRIBUTED TO EARLY COVID-19 MORTALITYSEE MORE ONVOXEU.ORG
HOW DIFFERENT TECHNOLOGIES AFFECT DIFFERENT WORKERSDIMITRIS CHRISTELIS
Dimitris joined the Adam Smith Business School in August 2019. He has previously worked at the University of Salerno, the University of Naples Federico II and the European Central Bank. SHADOW BANKING AND THE ECONOMY WWII AND THE INDUSTRIALISATION OF THE AMERICAN SOUTH Mobilisation for WWII is typically credited as having spurred the industrialisation of the American South, where industrial development had previously been stymied. Using newly collected data, this column revisits this hypothesis. Unlike earlier studies, the results do not support a decisive role for wartime capital deepening on the South’s post-war industrial development.CHARLES GOODHART
Charles Goodhart was the Norman Sosnow Professor of Banking and Finance at the London School of Economics until 2002; he is now an Emeritus Professor in the Financial Markets Group there. VOX, CEPR POLICY PORTALCOLUMNSCOVID-19VOX MULTIMEDIAPUBLICATIONSBLOGS&REVIEWSPEOPLE Global food security is being threatened by the COVID-19 pandemic and the restrictive measures to control it. Jammed food supply chains, falling incomes for some population segments, and rising food prices are placing food out of reach for millions of THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EDUCATION INFLATION IN THE AFTERMATH OF WARS AND PANDEMICS GENDER AND EMPLOYMENT DURING COVID-19: THE EVIDENCE FOR Francesca Caselli of the IMF talks to Tim Phillips about evidence for the extent and persistence of pandemic-induced she-cessions, drawing on quarterly data from 38 advanced and emerging market economies, which uncovers significant heterogeneity across countries. In two-thirds of the countries MASS GATHERINGS CONTRIBUTED TO EARLY COVID-19 MORTALITYSEE MORE ONVOXEU.ORG
HOW DIFFERENT TECHNOLOGIES AFFECT DIFFERENT WORKERSDIMITRIS CHRISTELIS
Dimitris joined the Adam Smith Business School in August 2019. He has previously worked at the University of Salerno, the University of Naples Federico II and the European Central Bank. SHADOW BANKING AND THE ECONOMY WWII AND THE INDUSTRIALISATION OF THE AMERICAN SOUTH Mobilisation for WWII is typically credited as having spurred the industrialisation of the American South, where industrial development had previously been stymied. Using newly collected data, this column revisits this hypothesis. Unlike earlier studies, the results do not support a decisive role for wartime capital deepening on the South’s post-war industrial development.CHARLES GOODHART
Charles Goodhart was the Norman Sosnow Professor of Banking and Finance at the London School of Economics until 2002; he is now an Emeritus Professor in the Financial Markets Group there. HETEROGENOUS EFFECTS OF COVID-19 ON HOUSEHOLDS' FINANCIAL 3 hours ago · The coronavirus pandemic has generated a complex economic shock that has affected households across the euro area very differently. This column uses survey data from around 10,000 households across Europe to reveal substantial divergences in the pandemic-induced financial concerns of households across population subgroups and countries. MONETARY POLICY AND CENTRAL BANKING IN THE COVID ERA ContentsForewordPart I: Introduction, overview, and economic backgroundMonetary policy and central banking in the Covid era: Key insights and challenges for the futureBill English, Kristin Forbes and Angel UbideA year like no otherGian Maria Milesi FerrettiPart II: The central bank responses in advanced economiesMonetary policy in Australia during CovidGuy DebelleThe Bank of ABOUT VOX | VOX, CEPR POLICY PORTAL VoxEU.org is a policy portal set up by the Centre for Economic Policy Research (www.CEPR.org) in conjunction with a consortium of national sites. Vox aims to promote research-based policy analysis and commentary by leading scholars. The intended audience is economists in governments, international organisations, academia and the private sector as well as journalists HOW CENTRAL BANKS SAVED US FROM COVID-19 How well has monetary policy coped with the challenge of Covid-19?Central banks get good grades in a new VoxEU ebook. But Bill English and Angel Ubide warn Tim Phillips that success today may lead to problems in future. THE LARGE AND UNEQUAL IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON WORKERS The spread of COVID-19 has already had a large negative impact on labour supply and earnings of workers in many countries. In this column, the authors leverage newly collected data from the US and the UK to show that these negative consequences are particularly harsh for younger workers, those with unstable employment relationships and lower labour income. THE TRANSMISSION MECHANISM OF THE CORPORATE SECTOR Monetary policy can stimulate credit provision – and as a result, economic activity – through the purchases of corporate bonds This column assesses euro area financing conditions and shows they have improved since the announcement of the ECB Corporate Sector Purchase Programme on 10 March 2016, with corporate bond spreads tightening and bond issuance increasing. HOW HOUSEHOLDS SELF-INSURE AGAINST JOB LOSS 4 hours ago · To what extent do households self-insure to avoid cutting back on consumption following income losses, and which self-insurance channels are most important? This column reviews evidence on household responses to job loss using comprehensive high-frequency data from multiple sources in Denmark. Over the two years following job loss, 30% of the decline in disposable income is EARNINGS INEQUALITY AND DYNAMICS IN THE PRESENCE OF 1 day ago · Relatively little is known about the patterns of inequality in developing countries, despite their importance for designing social and economic policies. This column analyses administrative and household data to describe the trends in earnings inequality and dynamics in Brazil since late 1980s. The findings suggest that the observed fall in earnings inequality and volatility REGIONAL FIRM SUBSIDIES: DIRECT, SPILLOVER, AND WELFARE Increasing regional inequality has become a major concern for policymakers both in the US and Europe. This column investigates the effects of a large place-based investment subsidy targeted at manufacturing firms in East Germany. It shows that a decrease in the subsidy rate leads to a decrease in manufacturing employment, highlighting spillovers to untreated sectors in treated THE CHANGING NATURE OF CAPITAL FLOWS Since the Global Crisis, the channels of capital flows have changed significantly. This column analyses key trends and underlying drivers of capital flows since the Global Crisis, including the policy trade-offs. It documents the increasing importance of market-based funding, a growing reliance on domestic currency liabilities, and a less stable foreign direct investmentCookie Control
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VOXEU & CEPR COVERAGE OF THE COVID-19 GLOBAL PANDEMIC FOOD (IN)SECURITY: A POTENTIALLY UNDERRATED COLLATERAL DAMAGE OF THEPANDEMIC
CHRISTIAN BOGMANS, ANDREA PESCATORI, ERVIN PRIFTI, 05 June 2021 Global food security is being threatened by the COVID-19 pandemic and the restrictive measures to control it. Jammed food supply chains, falling incomes for some population segments, and rising food prices are placing food out of reach for millions of individuals. This column discusses the short-run relationship between food (in)security and income and food prices, and the implications of the current economic crisis for global hunger. The pandemic’s economic fallout risks setting us back a full decade on eliminating undernourishment, especially in low-income countries. Governments should strengthen social safety nets for the most vulnerable to keep inequality incheck.
REGIONAL FIRM SUBSIDIES: DIRECT, SPILLOVER, AND WELFARE EFFECTS SEBASTIAN SIEGLOCH, NILS WEHRHÖFER, TOBIAS ETZEL, 04 June 2021 Increasing regional inequality has become a major concern for policymakers both in the US and Europe. This column investigates the effects of a large place-based investment subsidy targeted at manufacturing firms in East Germany. It shows that a decrease in the subsidy rate leads to a decrease in manufacturing employment, highlighting spillovers to untreated sectors in treated counties and untreated counties connected via trade and local taxes. It also finds that the place-based policy is at least as efficient as cash transfers for the unemployed but is more effective in curbing regionalinequality overall.
THE TRANSMISSION MECHANISM OF THE CORPORATE SECTOR PURCHASE PROGRAMME FRANK BETZ, ROBERTO DE SANTIS, ANDREA ZAGHINI, 04 June 2021 Monetary policy can stimulate credit provision – and as a result, economic activity – through the purchases of corporate bonds This column assesses euro area financing conditions and shows they have improved since the announcement of the ECB Corporate Sector Purchase Programme on 10 March 2016, with corporate bond spreads tightening and bond issuance increasing. Moreover, the unconventional monetary policy triggered a shift in bank loan supply in favour of firms that do not have access to bond-based financing. THE CHANGING NATURE OF CAPITAL FLOWS CATHÉRINE CASANOVA, BEATRICE SCHEUBEL, LIVIO STRACCA, 04 June 2021 Since the Global Crisis, the channels of capital flows have changed significantly. This column analyses key trends and underlying drivers of capital flows since the Global Crisis, including the policy trade-offs. It documents the increasing importance of market-based funding, a growing reliance on domestic currency liabilities, and a less stable foreign direct investment environment, particularly for emerging market economies. Although these changes create risks which should be managed, capital flows also present clear benefits for stimulating economic performance and efficiency. MONETARY POLICY AND CENTRAL BANKING IN THE COVID ERA: A NEW EBOOK BILL ENGLISH, KRISTIN FORBES, ÁNGEL UBIDE, 03 June 2021 As Covid-19 spread in early 2020, many central banks were still struggling to boost inflation. The abruptness and speed of the economic deterioration, the sharp increase in market volatility, and the blinding uncertainty over the impact of the pandemic motivated a central bank reaction that was unprecedented in terms of size, speed and scope. A new CEPR eBook summarises the responses by sixteen central banks from both advanced and emerging economies – with chapters written by senior central bank officials and economists in each of the countries to explain the actions taken. While responses varied across countries, there are several common threads: the size, speed and breadth of the responses; the reliance on a more multidimensional set of tools; and the ability of emerging markets to behave more like advanced economies. OTHER RECENT COLUMNS: * Fiscal austerity intensifies the increase in inequality afterpandemics
DAVIDE FURCERI, PRAKASH LOUNGANI, JONATHAN D. OSTRY, PIETRO PIZZUTO,03 June 2021
* FDI is in big trouble: Insights from the 27th Global Trade Alertreport
SIMON EVENETT, JOHANNES FRITZ, 03 June 2021 * Why banks differ in the pace of adoption of new technology PRACHI MISHRA, NAGPURNANAND PRABHALA, RAGHURAM RAJAN, 02 June 2021 * Macroprudential policy issues arising from the low interest rateenvironment
JOHN FELL, TUOMAS PELTONEN, RICHARD PORTES, 02 June 2021 * The differing effects of globalisation on trade versus migration REBECCA FREEMAN, JOHN LEWIS, 02 June 2021 * Understanding how central banks use their balance sheets STEPHEN CECCHETTI, PAUL TUCKER, 01 June 2021 * How public health failures boosted COVID-19 vaccine scepticism GERALDINE BLANCHARD-ROHNER, BRUNO CAPRETTINI, DOMINIC ROHNER, HANS-JOACHIM VOTH, 01 June 2021 * Re-evaluating the sources of the recent productivity slowdown IAN GOLDIN, PANTELIS KOUTROUMPIS, FRANÇOIS LAFOND, JULIAN WINKLER, 31May 2021
* The emerging fiscal union needs a solid foundation PÄIVI LEINO-SANDBERG, VESA VIHRIÄLÄ, 31 May 2021 * Regulating personal data: Linking different models to digitalservices trade
MARTINA F. FERRACANE, ERIK VAN DER MAREL, 30 May 2021 * State-by-state decisions on shutdowns minimise Covid’s economicimpact
MARIO CRUCINI, OSCAR O’FLAHERTY, 29 May 2021 * Financial integration and structure in EMU during the coronacrisis
PHILIPP HARTMANN, STEFANO BORGIOLI, ALINA KEMPF, PHILIPPE MOLITOR, FRANCESCO PAOLO MONGELLI, 28 May 2021 * Trade unions in America: The times they are a-changin’ BENJAMIN ARTZ, DAVID BLANCHFLOWER, ALEX BRYSON, 28 May 2021 * The reliability of public debt forecasts JULIA ESTEFANIA FLORES, DAVIDE FURCERI, SIDDHARTH KOTHARI, JONATHAN D.OSTRY, 28 May 2021
* Factoryless manufacturers and international trade in the age ofglobal value chains
YUQING XING, 27 May 2021 * The origin of the gender gap ARASH NEKOEI, FABIAN SINN, 27 May 2021 * A new template for the European fiscal framework PHILIPPE MARTIN, JEAN PISANI-FERRY, XAVIER RAGOT, 26 May 2021 * Why shareholder capitalism benefits wider society ALEX EDMANS, 26 May 2021 * The heterogeneous impact of short-time work PIERRE CAHUC, FRANCIS KRAMARZ, SANDRA NEVOUX, 26 May 2021 * Resilience of the financial system to natural disasters PATRICK BOLTON, HARRISON HONG, MARCIN KACPERCZYK, XAVIER VIVES, 25 May2021
MISFORTUNES NEVER COME ALONE: THE IMPACT OF THE FINANCIAL CRISIS ONCOVID-19 DEATHS
Steven Ongena
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VOX EBOOKS
MONETARY POLICY AND CENTRAL BANKING IN THE COVID ERA English, Forbes, Ubide, 03 June 2021More eBooks
VOX TALKS
HOW CENTRAL BANKS SAVED US FROM COVID-19Listen
English, Ubide
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DON'T MISS
THE GHOST OF SMOOT-HAWLEY TELLS WHY AMERICA ISN’T TOO BIG TO AVOIDRETALIATION
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US INFLATION: SET FOR TAKE-OFF? Ball, Gopinath, Leigh, Mishra, SpilimbergoEVENTS
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Political Economy, Cultural Economics and Gender 7 - 7 June 2021 / Online / ENS de Lyon and CEPR*
21st CEPR/JIE Conference on Applied Industrial Organisation and 17th CEPR/JIE School on Applied Industrial Organisation 8 - 9 June 2021 / Online /*
CEPR-VDEV Webinars - 16 8 - 8 June 2021 / Online /*
International Trade: The New Normal 10 - 11 June 2021 / Paris / Banque de France, CEPII, CEPR and University of Surrey*
GEP-CEPR Summer International Trade Workshop 14 - 15 June 2021 / Online / CEPR POLICY RESEARCH * Discussion Papers(active tab)* Insights
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Homeownership of immigrants in France: selection effects related to international migration flowsGobillon, Solignac
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Climate Change and Long-Run Discount Rates: Evidence from Real Estate Giglio, Maggiori, Stroebel, Weber*
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A world without the WTO: what’s at stake?Baldwin, Nakatomi
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The economics of insurance and its borders with general financeThimann
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Maturity mismatch stretching: Banking has taken a wrong turnGoodhart, Perotti
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