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U.S. ECONOMIC CALENDAR 2021. 6.4%. -3.5% (2020) January 2023. GDP (Annual) 2022. 3.2%. -3.5% (2020) The median forecasts in this calendar come from weekly and monthly surveys of economists conducted by Dow Jones DJIA | DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE OVERVIEW | MARKETWATCH Dow Jones U.S. Total Stock Market Index 43,712.97-209.00-0.48%SHORT INTEREST
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Marketwatch summary - Overview of US stock market with current status of DJIA, Nasdaq, S&P, Dow, NYSE, gold futures and bonds. HISTORICAL STOCK QUOTE PRICES Research stock values by date. Look up the historical stock quote prices on Marketwatch. U.S. ECONOMIC CALENDAR 2021. 6.4%. -3.5% (2020) January 2023. GDP (Annual) 2022. 3.2%. -3.5% (2020) The median forecasts in this calendar come from weekly and monthly surveys of economists conducted by Dow Jones AFTER HOURS SCREENER Monitor leaders, laggards and most active stocks during after-markethours trading.
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STOCK TICKER SYMBOL LOOKUP Latest News /news/latest; 11:08p. Teen jobless rate falls to lowest point in years. 11:07p. My sisters — one of whom was a Fortune 500 VP — emptied my mother’s house and told me to take whatSHORT INTEREST
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THE DOW TUMBLED MORE THAN 1,000 POINTS AND MARKED ITS THIRD-WORST POINT DROP IN HISTORY — HERE’S HOW THE STOCK MARKET TENDS TO PERFORM AFTER BIG DROPSBy Mark DeCambre
Published: Feb 24, 2020 9:21 p.m. ETShare
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Text Resize Print icon THE CORONAVIRUS-INSPIRED TUMBLE, BY THE NUMBERS AFP/Getty Images A genuine tumble for investors?By
MARKDECAMBRE
It finally happened. A bona fide selloff took hold Monday on Wall Street after investors spent weeks attempting to come to terms with the potential impact of the COVID-19 outbreak as it spreads in countries outside of China, notably Italy and Iran, threatening to dent global supply chains andeconomies.
There are now 79,339 cases of COVID-19 — the infectious disease derived from the novel strain of coronavirus that reportedly originated in Wuhan, China, last year — in 30 countries, and 2,619 deaths, according to the latest figures from the World HealthOrganization.
THIRD-BIGGEST POINT DROP...EVERThe day’s decline
marks the third-biggest daily point drop for the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -3.56% in its 124-year history. The blue-chip benchmark closed 1,031.61 points, or 3.56%, lower, to end at 27,961, not far from the intraday low at27,912.44.
Date
Point change
% change
Feb. 5
-1,175 points
-4.60%
Feb. 8
-1,032
-4.15
FEB. 24 (at low)
-1,031.61
-3.56%
To be sure, such point drops are less meaningful because the Dow has been trading at lofty levels. For example, the Dow’s 1987 crash was a 508-point decline but that fall represented a 23% plunge backthen.
NEED TO KNOW: Warren Buffett says ‘don’t buy or sell’ on the headlines as coronavirus sends stocks plunging1.32% OR BUST
The 10-year Treasury note yield TMUBMUSD10Y, -0.18% tumbled more than 10 basis points to trade at 1.367% on Monday, just shy of its June 2016 record low of 1.32%. Bond prices rise as yields fall. The 30-year bond yield TMUBMUSD30Y, +0.04%,
known as the long bond, hit an all-time low last week, raising worries that bond investors are betting on economic pain ahead. Government bonds have been hovering around lows even as stocks have been climbing, an odd dynamic in the market and has implied that investors are unsettled by the uncertainty surrounding the outbreak.3% OR WORSE
Monday’s selloff marks the first time all three major benchmarks — the Dow, the S&P 500 index SPX, -3.35% , and the Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, -3.71% — each fell by at least 3% on the same day since Dec. 4, 2018, according to Dow Jones Market Data.11 SECTORS
The 11 sectors of the S&P 500 index all finished in the red, led by a 4.74% decline in the energy sector XLE, -4.62% , which suffered the worst daily percentage loss since Aug. 24, 2015.ALL 30
All 30 of the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s components finished lower, led by a whopping 7.8% decline in shares of UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC. UNH, -7.84% , marking its largest daily slide since Aug. 8, 2011.
The fall in the health insurer exacted a toll of more than 160 points on the price-weighted blue-chip benchmark. NEGATIVE FOR THE YEAR Monday’s downturn has wiped out this year’s gains for the Dow (now -2.02%) and the S&P 500 (now -0.15%).50-DAY
The S&P 500 breached its 50-day moving average for the first time since October. Technical analysts view moving averages as dividing lines between long-term and short-term bullish and bearish averages. The S&P 500’s 50-day moving average stands at 3,275.90 (see chartbelow).
The Dow also closed well below its 50-day moving average at 28,805.54, and slightly above its 200-day moving average at 27,224.03. WORTH A READ: Apple’s stock falls below its 50-day moving average for first time in nearly 6 months READ: Economists say Fed rate cut could come as early as March CHECK OUT: Can stocks keep soaring as the U.S. dollar surges? What investors need to know SO HOW DOES THE MARKET TEND TO PERFORM IN THIS AFTERMATH? Despite all the relative carnage being endured by the market, stocks have a tendency to rebound after a hit of at least 2%, Dow JonesMarket Data shows.
The past 10 times that the S&P 500 index fell by as much as 3%, for example, it declined 0.27%, on average, in the next trading session. However, the average performance improved dramatically in the following week, month and year, as shown in the table below:TIME FRAME
PERFORMANCE S&P 500 AFTER IT HAS FALLEN AT LEAST 3% IN ONE DAYDay after
-0.27%
1 week after
1.83%
1 month after
2.08%
1 year after
12.97%
Meanwhile, the Dow has a similar record.Time frame
PERFORMANCE DOW AFTER IT HAS FALLEN AT LEAST 3% IN ONE DAYDay after
-0.19%
1 week after
2.07%
1 month after
2.93%
1 year after
12.52%
To be sure, how the market performs in the past is no guarantee of what it will do in the future. On top of that, an epidemic that gets out of control could lead to unprecedented results for the market and economy. During past epidemics,
the market has eventually rebounded, however. The researchers at Bespoke Investment Group also make the case that, over the past 11 years, declines of more than 2% for the S&P 500 have tended to see healthy rebounds, particularly when that daily slide happens on a Monday. “Since March 2009, there have been 18 prior 2%+ drops on Mondays, and SPY has seen an average gain of 1.02% on the next day (Turnaround Tuesday),” the analysts wrote Monday. See attached chart: Source: Bespoke Investment Group READ: Opinion: If the coronavirus isn’t contained, a severe global recession is almost certain CORONAVIRUS UPDATE: 79,407 cases, 2,622 deaths, clusters emerge inIran and Italy
—Michael Destefano contributed to this articleMARK DECAMBRE
Mark DeCambre is MarketWatch's markets editor. He is based in New York. Follow him on Twitter @mdecambre. WE WANT TO HEAR FROM YOU Join the conversationComment
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Sal GentileLeader
2h
WOW____________ 491 comments have been posted thus far on this MW article and each and everyone who posted a message WANTS to think they know what they are taking about. Yet in reality only one out of every ten of us will ever make it into the Upper 10% of wealth holders in the USA. Yet we all WANT to think we know what we are doing. Note: Past performance is not a Guarantee of Future Performance. Past recoveries from Stock Market downturns is not a roadmap or a guarantee of Future recoveries from downturns. Yes indeed __ it really is VERY different this time. This time we have Quarantines which we have never had before and the Guaranties and government reactions ARE halting or slowing industrial production, trade and travel, ___ and we have NEVER had all of those conditions in play before.. This time our federal deficit Tops $23 Trillion. This time our Corporation and more importantly our Consumers are buried in new all time high record levels of Debt. This time our Federal Reserve Board cut interest rates 3 times and it began QE4 back in Sept. 2019 which was 4 months before this new virus even existed. So I will be the first one to say on this MW message board ______ unlike the rest of you guys I do NOT know at this time how mild, how severe or how long lasting this virus willbe....See more
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BrettAdam 72Leader
2h
So, the stock market is now just an overvalued casino backed by the Fed. It hasn't produced any more job/wage growth than it was doing 4 years ago but is costing us twice the amount of long term debt.Reply
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3 Likes
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Bill GredickLeader
4h
Futures are now 248 to the good at 2.45 an so Tuesday will be a bigbuy back
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BrettAdam 72Leader
2h
Bill Gredick
Buy-back is exactly right because that is all that is fueling it.Reply
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1 Like
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Steve SasakiLeader
5h
For what it’s worth, China stated that the increase of Corona Virus seems to be leveling off, we’ll see in the next week. In Japan, I do not see explosive growth, even though the virus is there but seems to be increasing very slowly. The same with South Korea, there was a one time increase of people with the virus at one church in In Daegu (sp) , but again no explosive growth. However a few countries in Europe have new cases of corona virus, this is from the open door policy of the EU and careless screening of travelers coming from China. Italy seems to have a strict quarantine policy because police are preventing people from leaving the infected Northern cities. So hopefully this mercurial virus can be controlled with vigilance.Reply
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Ben HackedLeader
5h
The best thing you could do is sell everything and invest in Tesla. I know because I listen to the comments on the Tesla articles.Reply
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4 Likes
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Ben HackedLeader
6h
Considering what it's done since just before christmas, this isn'tcrazy.
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2 Likes
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John JacobsLeader
6h
Well I'll be buying. I'm long-term (more than 10 years before I cashout).
Reply
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2 Likes
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l stanleyLeader
4h
John Jacobs
just something to think about: it is easy to be brave at the top of a long bull mkt, when you have nice profits.Reply
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2 Likes
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Baer MarkitLeader
7h
Trump is a disaster for our nation. Now we'll be in a recession and he's wasted all the bullets that we normally have to protect us from the downside....for his own personal political gain. You can't cut taxes You can't cut rates and there is no money for fiscal stimulus or state unemployment compensation ...See moreReply
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15 Likes
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Ben HackedLeader
6h
Baer Markit
wrong
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6 Likes
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ken RowlettLeader
6h
Baer Markit
Must be a socialist because u did not take economics . Go Bernie😊😊😊
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3 Likes
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Joseph CafarielloLeader7hEdited
Good article. Nice stats. It's always good to examine market tendencies, since these patterns tend to repeat quite regularly. Just to add, it makes sense for markets to rebound quite nicely after large plunges, since such hard and fast drops are usually due to shocks, not fundamentals. Fundamentals don't change so quickly. This makes fast and rapid plunges quite attractive, as they are most often short-term deviations from fundamentals due to a temporary shock that spooks investors for a while. Once the spook passes, markets will return back to fundamentals where they belong. Anyone clever enough to buy on these sharp selloffs will do well going forward. Remember that the long-term fundamentals have not changed, and are still positive. And long-term accommodative monetary policies have not changed either.Reply
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10 Likes
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good guyLeader
7h
There are more big drop coming between March and May ?Reply
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5 Likes
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John JacobsLeader
6h
good guy
Sure there are! They are part of life. The long-term trend has been up. We all thought the world was ending in 2009 and we're all still here. Keep your head and buy and remember you are in it for the long-term. If you are a retiree living on dividend income, no one has cancelled dividends so you should be ok. If you are just about to sell it all and move to a condo in Florida, put it off for three months.Reply
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Dow Jones Industrial Average Dow Jones Global: DJIA27,960.80
-1,031.61 (-3.56%)
Volume
458.7M
Open
28,403
High
28,403
Low
27,912
P/E Ratio
0
Div Yield
0
Market Cap
N/A
U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note Tullett Prebon: TMUBMUSD10Y1.37%
+0.00 (-0.18%)
Volume
0
Open
1.37%
High
1.42%
Low
1.35%
P/E Ratio
0
Div Yield
0
Market Cap
N/A
U.S. 30 Year Treasury Bond Tullett Prebon: TMUBMUSD30Y1.84%
+0.00 (+0.04%)
Volume
0
Open
1.84%
High
1.87%
Low
1.81%
P/E Ratio
0
Div Yield
0
Market Cap
N/A
S&P 500 Index S&P US:SPX
3,225.89
-111.86 (-3.35%)
Volume
2.7B
Open
3,258
High
3,260
Low
3,215
P/E Ratio
0
Div Yield
0
Market Cap
N/A
NASDAQ Composite IndexU.S.: Nasdaq: COMP
9,221.28
-355.31 (-3.71%)
Volume
2.8M
Open
9,188
High
9,323
Low
9,166
P/E Ratio
0
Div Yield
0
Market Cap
N/A
Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF U.S.: NYSE Arca: XLE$51.64
-2.50 (-4.62%)
Volume
33.0M
Open
$52.10
High
$52.40
Low
$51.48
P/E Ratio
0
Div Yield
4.35
Market Cap
N/A
UnitedHealth Group Inc.U.S.: NYSE: UNH
$277.79
-23.64 (-7.84%)
Volume
8.8M
Open
$286.89
High
$288.99
Low
$277.64
P/E Ratio
19.39
Div Yield
1.56
Market Cap
263.5B
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