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ARIZONA GOP ELECTION AUDIT DRAWS MORE REPUBLICAN Arizona GOP election audit draws more Republican politicians. Allies of Donald Trump have been making a pilgrimage to Phoenix. FormerRepublican Arizona
NEW YORK: LATEST NEWS, TOP STORIES & ANALYSIS Delivered daily by 6 a.m., New York & New Jersey Energy is your guide to the day’s top energy news and policy in Albany and around theEmpire State.
PELOSI DRUG PRICE PLAN THREATENED BY CENTRIST DEFECTIONS Health Care. Pelosi drug price plan threatened by centrist defections. A group of Democratic moderates have raised concerns over a drug price negotiation bill, enough to potentially doom the effort. ELECTION FRAUD: LATEST NEWS, TOP STORIES & ANALYSIS Latest news, headlines, analysis, photos and videos on Election FraudPLAYBOOK PM
About The Author : Eli Okun. Eli Okun is a Playbook producer and Playbook PM co-author. Before joining POLITICO in 2017, he worked as a reporter for the New Hampshire Union Leader, covering local CARTOON CAROUSEL: LATEST NEWS, TOP STORIES Latest news, headlines, analysis, photos and videos on CartoonCarousel
AUDUBON CEO RESIGNS AFTER COMPLAINTS OF TOXIC WORKPLACE Audubon CEO resigns after complaints of toxic workplace. Yarnold is exiting an organization he helmed for nearly 11 years. David Yarnold addresses the audience during the National Audubon Society POLITICS, POLICY, POLITICAL NEWS Politics. Trump reemerges on the trail and plays the hits of yore. In North Carolina, the former president took aim at Biden and Fauci and — falsely — claimed the 2020 race was stolen. POLITICS: LATEST AND BREAKING POLITICAL NEWS TODAY Dems sweat a summer pileup of big votes on Biden’s agenda. Democrats want to secure police reform, infrastructure and voting rights before the August recess, on top of having to address the DONALD TRUMP: LATEST NEWS, TOP STORIES & ANALYSIS Read the latest news and analysis on President Donald Trump. Follow today's top stories and breaking news from inside Washington D.C. andbeyond.
ARIZONA GOP ELECTION AUDIT DRAWS MORE REPUBLICAN Arizona GOP election audit draws more Republican politicians. Allies of Donald Trump have been making a pilgrimage to Phoenix. FormerRepublican Arizona
NEW YORK: LATEST NEWS, TOP STORIES & ANALYSIS Delivered daily by 6 a.m., New York & New Jersey Energy is your guide to the day’s top energy news and policy in Albany and around theEmpire State.
PELOSI DRUG PRICE PLAN THREATENED BY CENTRIST DEFECTIONS Health Care. Pelosi drug price plan threatened by centrist defections. A group of Democratic moderates have raised concerns over a drug price negotiation bill, enough to potentially doom the effort. ELECTION FRAUD: LATEST NEWS, TOP STORIES & ANALYSIS Latest news, headlines, analysis, photos and videos on Election FraudPLAYBOOK PM
About The Author : Eli Okun. Eli Okun is a Playbook producer and Playbook PM co-author. Before joining POLITICO in 2017, he worked as a reporter for the New Hampshire Union Leader, covering local CARTOON CAROUSEL: LATEST NEWS, TOP STORIES Latest news, headlines, analysis, photos and videos on CartoonCarousel
AUDUBON CEO RESIGNS AFTER COMPLAINTS OF TOXIC WORKPLACE Audubon CEO resigns after complaints of toxic workplace. Yarnold is exiting an organization he helmed for nearly 11 years. David Yarnold addresses the audience during the National Audubon Society HEADLINES - POLITICO A new approach in the way the Census aggregates its data could make it more difficult to do extreme gerrymandering, says Moon Duchin. Democrats are stuck on abortion and gun control. They have aPOLITICO LIVE
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In a recent fundraising email, Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) described it as “the first big test for House Democrats in 2021” — one of several urgent appeals from party leaders this month. The SENATE SERGEANT AT ARMS: MORE CONCERNED ABOUT CYBERATTACK Senate Sergeant at Arms Karen Gibson is more concerned about a cyberattack crippling the government than another Jan. 6-type assaulton the Capitol,
NEARING NEARLY NORMAL 13 hours ago · New York could be back to almost normal in seven, eight, 10 or 13 days. Or maybe the first week in July. Those are off-the-cuff guesses from Gov. Andrew Cuomo, his SENATE PASSES BILL TO AID DIRECTED-ENERGY ATTACK VICTIMS 9 hours ago · The Intelligence Committee has heard from several victims of the mysterious attacks who have had to “battle” with the federal government to get sufficient medical treatment, Sen. SusanCollins
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south carolina primary SOUTH CAROLINA BLOWS UP THE 2020 PRIMARY If there was a best case scenario for Joe Biden, this was it. Will Cokley, from Charlotte, N.C., checks his phone for the results of the South Carolina Democratic primary during a Joe Biden election night victory party on Saturday. | Tom Gralish/The PhiladelphiaInquirer via AP
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Saturday’s results laid bare the inability of several lower-performing candidates to appeal widely to black voters — a critical component not only of the South Carolina electorate but of the Democratic Party’s broader base, and a potential sign of trouble to come on Super Tuesday. Those candidates now must confront the possibility of their fundraising drying up. If there was a best case scenario for Biden, this was it. And as a result, the primary has been reset. “Americans know Joe Biden, and a lot of them are coming home,” said Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti, who was at the airport in Dallas on Saturday night after campaigning for Biden in that Super Tuesdaystate.
For other candidates, he predicted that after the South Carolina result, “I think there will be some soul searching.” In one sign of Biden’s sudden momentum, Terry McAuliffe, the former Virginia governor and former Democratic National Committee chair, and Virginia Rep. Bobby Scott, both endorsed Biden ahead of the Super Tuesday contest in that state. And Sen. Tim Kaine, another recent addition to the Biden camp, was preparing to campaign with Biden inNorfolk on Sunday.
Yet it’s possible that in Biden, moderate Democrats have found their answer to Sanders too late. Just three days away, the Super Tuesday landscape favors Sanders, with his hardened base and extensive organization. And any meaningful consolidation of the primary field is unlikely to occur until afterthat day.
Even in Biden’s victory, his opponents were signaling their intent to hang on until then — or long after — muddying Biden’s path.Advertisement
Elizabeth Warren, pulling just seven percent in South Carolina, declared Saturday that her campaign is “built for the long haul.” She plans to campaign on Super Tuesday in Michigan, which holds its primary a week later, on March 10. And Pete Buttigieg’s campaign — recognizing a looming defeat in South Carolina — suggested in a memo this week that the campaign’s goal is only “to minimize Sanders’ margins on Super Tuesday and rack up delegates in the March 10th and March 17th contests, which are much more favorable to us.” “They want to be in a consolidated field,” said Doug Herman, who was a lead mail strategist for Barack Obama's 2008 and 2012 campaigns. “It’s all about being an option. When the music stops, who has achair to sit on?”
But candidates will soon find it increasingly difficult to remain relevant. Other than Biden, Sanders and Steyer, no candidate finished above 10 percent in South Carolina. Following Super Tuesday, said Gary Hart, the former Colorado senator and two-time presidential candidate, “I think there will be a groundswell of party regulars … people who care about the Democratic Party day in and day out and help keep it alive at the county level, they will turn their backs on those who linger without a purpose or acontribution.”
He said small-dollar fundraising could allow candidates to continue on, but that Democratic activists and the media “will begin to say, ‘OK, enough already. What are you trying to achieve?‘ And they may find the stage not very attractive.” Steyer already succumbed to that calculation. Both Amy Klobuchar, who did abysmally in South Carolina, and Warren, who did only marginally better, on Tuesday will have to defend their home states of Minnesota and Massachusetts, respectively. Sanders is pressing them hard in bothstates.
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And if Biden dealt a blow to the field in South Carolina, Sanders is positioned to do the same on Super Tuesday. Advisers to Sanders’ opponents acknowledge that the landscape that day, in which about one-third of the contest’s delegates will be awarded, is well configured for Sanders. His small-dollar fundraising machine has allowed him to compete across the multi-state map, and he is far ahead in the largest state, California. Sanders is polling above 30 percent in California — more than 15 percentage points ahead of Warren, Biden and Mike Bloomberg, the former New York City mayor who‘s spent nearly a half-billion dollars in preparation for a campaign designed to launch that day. The advantage is so large in California that every candidate other than Sanders is at risk of falling below the 15 percent viability threshold required to win statewide delegates there. But Sanders’ lead is narrower in Texas, Tuesday’s second-largest source of delegates, and Biden’s victory on Saturday could spillover for him there.
“At a minimum, places with large African American populations are going to be pretty teed up for ,” said Bill Carrick, a South Carolina native who managed Missouri Rep. Dick Gephardt’s 1988 presidential campaign and who now works in California. In addition to Texas, Carrick suggested Biden could see gains in North Carolina, Virginia, and Arkansas — all states where more than a quarter of the Democratic primary voters in 2016 were AfricanAmerican.
“We are in a little bit of an illusion here in California, because has run a five- or six-year campaign here … TV, and lots of campaigning all over the place, and all that stuff,” Carricksaid.
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Looking at the broader map on Super Tuesday and in later March, he said, “So many of these people have reasonable viability. Stuff changes so quickly.” Following Sanders’ blowout victory in the Nevada caucuses last week, it appeared that neither Biden nor any other centrist Democrat might have a chance, with the possibility that Sanders might even breach Biden‘s Southern stronghold. But South Carolina shrugged off Biden’s demoralizing performances in Iowa and New Hampshire, saw his second-place finish in Nevada as proof of life and enthusiastically backed his candidacy.MOST READ
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It was a critical result for moderate Democrats, who have seen Sanders steamroll the opposition in early contests in part because centrist candidates split the moderate vote. In an effort to keep Sanders’ numbers down in South Carolina, outside groups aligned with moderates aired ads criticizing him and his signature policy proposal, Medicare for All. The center-left group Third Way warned of Sanders’ “extremist policies,” including in a memo to Democrats in the Super Tuesday state of California. But such efforts seemed anemic compared to Sanders’ fundraising and displays of grassroots energy. Only Biden’s decisive victory Saturday holds the promise halting the Vermont senator’s marchforward.
In a different era, said Les Francis, a former Carter administration official and former executive director of the Democratic National Committee, “there’d be some closed-door meetings where there’d be some head-knocking and table-pounding and leverage exerted — not on Sanders, but on the other campaigns, saying, ‘Come on, guys, let’s get behind one or two .‘” This year, he said, “even if you wanted to, it can’t. It doesn’t have the muscle.” Had Biden only prevailed by a narrow margin in South Carolina, the imperative for other moderates to abandon their campaigns would have been less clear. Now, given the breadth of his victory, Biden offers the prospect of a vessel for the Sanders opposition. The effort was already afoot in his victory speech. 2020 Election Results WHO’S WINNING 2020? WE’LL TELL YOU. The latest election results sent straight to your inbox.Sign Up
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In California, more than 1.4 million Democrats have already voted, but that represents only about 20 percent of all ballots mailed, according to Political Data Inc., the voter data firm used by both Republicans and Democrats in California. The firm’s Paul Mitchell said the returns suggest “some evidence of people holding onto their ballots and waiting,” including high-propensity voters who he described as “kind of playing political consultant in their kitchen.” Many of those mail-voting Democrats will be older, higher-propensity voters who Mitchell said are “likely looking for a Sanders alternative and are laboring to figure out how to game who to votefor.”
Thanks to South Carolina, Biden made a strong case to be thatalternative.
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